Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 18.74 | $0.533 | $3.28 | -$6.72 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.090 | $2.25 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 62.5 |
| $0.080 |
| $1.81 |
| -$3.19 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.200 | $1.79 | -$3.21 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.090 | $1.78 | -$0.22 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.260 | $0.42 | -$1.58 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.520 | $0.25 | -$1.75 |
| sell |
| 16.66 |
| $0.069 |
| $1.14 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.113 | $0.63 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.008 | $0.16 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.004 | $0.1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "No No No" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.632 | $4 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "IQ" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 6.97 | $0.287 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Newsom" or "Newscum" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will the State of the Union address be delayed?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nicki" or "Nikki" or "Rapper" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hat" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Anarchist" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 8)No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "TikTok" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 9.03 | $0.221 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Armada" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "No No No" this week? (February 8)Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 AWS service disrupted by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.333 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.54 | $0.663 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.185 | $4.12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by February 28?Yes | buy | 28.61 | $0.175 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionNo | buy | 4.28 | $0.530 | $2.27 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.004 | $1.52 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo | buy | 10.85 | $0.461 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 16?Yes | buy | 25.63 | $0.078 | $2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?No | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.012 | $0.04 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.049 | $2.45 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Bikinis back on X by January 16?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.006 | $0.07 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Cellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.025 | $0.42 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Cellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 GPT ads by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No | buy | 15.75 | $0.127 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |