Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series? | Yes | 20 | $0.650 | $15.1 | +$2.1 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Thermo Fisher (TMO) Q2 organic revenue growth (non-GAAP) 2%-4%?No | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.640 |
| $12.8 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 19.98 | $0.580 | $11.59 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | sell | 255 | $0.998 | $254.49 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 258.09 | $0.999 | $257.83 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | sell | 270.49 | $0.998 | $269.95 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 271.87 | $0.999 | $271.6 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Sliwa or Adams get more votes?Sliwa | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Next French confidence vote passes?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?No | sell | 2.24 | $0.959 | $2.15 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | sell | 2.17 | $0.999 | $2.17 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.997 | $1.04 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Trump's face on the $250 bill before July?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?No | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Google forced to sell Chrome?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Trump's face on the $250 bill before July?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy be forced to liquidate Bitcoin holdings in 2025?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | Feb 26, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 15.86 | $0.971 | $15.4 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 3.68K | $0.001 | $3.68 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.550 | $3 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 297.13 | $0.989 | $293.86 | Jul 8, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 297.13 | $0.992 | $294.75 | Jul 6, 2024 |
 Will the Netherlands win?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Jul 6, 2024 |
 Will Tom Cotton win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?No | sell | 300 | $0.993 | $297.9 | Jul 6, 2024 |
| Will Tom Cotton win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?No | buy | 307.82 | $0.997 | $306.9 | Jul 6, 2024 |
 Will Amy Klobuchar be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | sell | 310 | $0.990 | $306.9 | Jul 6, 2024 |
| Will Amy Klobuchar be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 325.39 | $0.994 | $323.44 | Jul 6, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | sell | 326.71 | $0.990 | $323.44 | Jul 6, 2024 |
| Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No | buy | 326.71 | $0.992 | $324.1 | Jul 6, 2024 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 326.38 | $0.993 | $324.1 | Jul 6, 2024 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 326.38 | $0.995 | $324.75 | Jul 6, 2024 |