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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 3.06 | $0.922 | $2.47 | -$0.35 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 4.48 | $0.999 | $4.48 | 10d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.22 |
| $0.818 |
| $1.13 |
| +$0.13 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.876 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 4.49 |
| $0.900 |
| $4.04 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
 SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.999 | $1.08 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.999 | $3.33 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.999 | $1.75 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 3.36 | $0.999 | $3.36 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.999 | $1.07 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.999 | $1.16 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.999 | $1.19 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 2.28 | $0.999 | $2.28 | May 12, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.140 | $0.16 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.999 | $0.12 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.999 | $0.2 | May 8, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.033 | $0.05 | May 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 9.86 | $0.999 | $9.85 | May 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.932 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.932 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.932 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.932 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.992 | $0.05 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.992 | $0.98 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.140 | $0.03 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.945 | $0.94 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Brad Lander be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.5 | $0.090 | $0.05 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.080 | $0.08 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.82 | $0.060 | $0.05 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.060 | $0.06 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.950 | $1.66 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.992 | $0.04 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.220 | $0.22 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.220 | $0.22 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.991 | $0.98 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.940 | $1.63 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?No | sell | 0.99 | $0.973 | $0.96 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 0.3 | $0.523 | $0.16 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.850 | $1.84 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.890 | $1.68 | Apr 22, 2026 |