Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 32 | $0.890 | $31.22 | +$2.74 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?No | buy | 26.99 | $0.984 | $26.56 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 30 |
| $0.900 |
| $28.64 |
| +$1.64 |
 JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | No | 30 | $0.910 | $28.35 | +$1.05 |
 Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? | No | 25 | $0.930 | $24.21 | +$0.96 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 16 | $0.923 | $15.37 | +$0.6 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.022 | $1.9 | -$0.3 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 57 | $0.112 | $1.45 | -$4.93 |
| buy |
| 151.18 |
| $0.015 |
| $2.27 |
| Jun 6, 2026 |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.930 | $23.25 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?No | buy | 40 | $0.986 | $39.44 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 767.42 | $0.002 | $1.53 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 27 | $0.976 | $26.35 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 123.46 | $0.990 | $122.23 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 17.63 | $0.991 | $17.47 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.986 | $9.86 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 45.3 | $0.999 | $45.25 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 32 | $0.997 | $31.9 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 35 | $0.530 | $18.55 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 X banned in U.K. by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.987 | $24.68 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 20.95 | $0.800 | $16.76 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 28 | $0.889 | $24.89 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 37.57 | $0.112 | $4.21 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 31.22 | $0.983 | $30.69 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?Yes | buy | 16.32 | $0.950 | $15.5 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 22.82 | $0.820 | $18.71 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 22.83 | $0.920 | $21 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No | buy | 14.11 | $0.992 | $14 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.089 | $3.56 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?Yes | buy | 20.51 | $0.880 | $18.05 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.49 | $0.110 | $5.66 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 32 | $0.890 | $28.48 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.967 | $14.5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.920 | $25.76 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.930 | $21.39 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 43 | $0.993 | $42.7 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Evidence Elon Musk went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?No | buy | 14.13 | $0.991 | $14 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 23.1 | $0.996 | $23 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Trump out as President by March 31?No | buy | 22.64 | $0.949 | $21.49 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?No | buy | 19.13 | $0.993 | $19 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 18.83 | $0.956 | $18 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Next US strike on Syria on December 16?No | buy | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.680 | $21.76 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Abracadabra by Lady Gaga be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?No | buy | 13 | $0.999 | $12.99 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.946 | $20.81 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Japanese PM apologize for China comments in 2025?No | buy | 17.19 | $0.910 | $15.64 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.977 | $19.54 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 29.94 | $0.972 | $29.1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 41.01 | $0.999 | $40.97 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 54.64 | $0.997 | $54.48 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.970 | $23.66 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?No | sell | 30.83 | $0.990 | $30.52 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?No | sell | 62.43 | $0.981 | $61.23 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Oct 22, 2025 |