Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 6.14 | $0.950 | $5.8 | -$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 6.14 | $0.950 | $5.83 | 1d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 7.23 |
| $0.976 |
| $7.06 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No | buy | 7.23 | $0.968 | $7 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.55 | $0.953 | $2.43 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.962 | $2.46 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 3.59 | $0.985 | $3.54 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 3.59 | $0.969 | $3.48 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No | sell | 1.97 | $0.983 | $1.94 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Russian strike on Poland by June 30?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.977 | $1.93 | May 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.943 | $3.4 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?No | sell | 7.14 | $0.955 | $6.82 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.949 | $6.78 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 14 be greater than 2,800,000?No | buy | 6.78 | $0.997 | $6.76 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 6.8 | $0.994 | $6.76 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.991 | $6.74 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.91 | $0.976 | $6.74 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.92 | $0.966 | $6.68 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,400 on February 1?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.995 | $5.89 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?No | buy | 5.89 | $0.986 | $5.81 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on December 10?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.970 | $5.64 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 5?No | buy | 5.64 | $0.989 | $5.58 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?No | sell | 5.64 | $0.989 | $5.58 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?No | buy | 5.64 | $0.987 | $5.57 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of November?No | sell | 5.72 | $0.973 | $5.57 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of November?No | buy | 5.72 | $0.970 | $5.55 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | sell | 5.62 | $0.988 | $5.55 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 5.63 | $0.995 | $5.6 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by November 30?No | sell | 5.72 | $0.979 | $5.6 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Hwang Kyo-ahn in jail by November 30?No | buy | 5.72 | $0.940 | $5.38 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will DeWayne Davis win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.999 | $5.37 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | sell | 5.42 | $0.992 | $5.38 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.988 | $5.36 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 2024 December hottest on record?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.998 | $5.09 | Jan 10, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?No | buy | 3.21 | $0.970 | $3.11 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by January 31?No | buy | 6.46 | $0.904 | $5.84 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024?No | buy | 2.52 | $0.853 | $2.15 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?No | buy | 3.4 | $0.997 | $3.39 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.960 | $3.17 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.985 | $2.88 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Harris win Virginia by 6+ points?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.980 | $2.41 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 0.79 | $0.978 | $0.77 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Will another team win La Liga?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.998 | $1.77 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.997 | $2.21 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will the AP call the election on November 10?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.999 | $1.19 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Bournemouth wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.998 | $1.37 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30.65K | $0.001 | $30.65 | Nov 6, 2024 |