Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 174 | $0.920 | $167.3 | +$7.22 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 174 | $0.920 | $160.08 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 188.01 |
| $0.292 |
| $16.64 |
| -$38.26 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 110 | $0.260 | $1.38 | -$27.23 |
| buy |
| 110 |
| $0.260 |
| $28.6 |
| Feb 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 234 | $0.400 | $93.6 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 266.01 | $0.819 | $217.86 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Brighton be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?No | buy | 129.01 | $0.987 | $127.33 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 234 | $0.420 | $98.28 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Yes | sell | 213 | $0.140 | $29.82 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 264 | $0.490 | $129.36 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 239.01 | $0.985 | $235.42 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026No | sell | 156 | $0.280 | $43.68 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 157 | $0.830 | $130.31 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Yes | buy | 213 | $0.240 | $51.12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 210 | $0.964 | $202.44 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | sell | 155 | $0.260 | $40.3 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 210 | $0.965 | $202.65 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | sell | 232 | $0.880 | $204.16 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 232 | $0.900 | $208.8 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026No | buy | 156.02 | $0.430 | $67.09 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 155 | $0.270 | $41.85 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.383 | $50.94 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 164 | $0.220 | $36.08 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | sell | 177 | $0.996 | $176.29 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?No | sell | 179 | $0.200 | $35.8 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes | buy | 188.01 | $0.292 | $54.9 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?No | sell | 150 | $0.984 | $147.6 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?No | buy | 177 | $0.997 | $176.47 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.100 | $13.1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?Yes | buy | 131 | $0.330 | $43.23 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 102.01 | $0.820 | $83.65 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 264 | $0.470 | $124.08 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 249 | $0.380 | $94.62 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 229 | $0.860 | $196.94 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 169 | $0.480 | $81.12 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?No | buy | 150.33 | $0.908 | $136.5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 249 | $0.540 | $134.46 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | buy | 191 | $0.870 | $166.17 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 169 | $0.490 | $82.81 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 228 | $0.975 | $222.3 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 279 | $0.345 | $96.3 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 164 | $0.974 | $159.74 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 232 | $0.968 | $224.58 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 164 | $0.975 | $159.9 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 163 | $0.890 | $145.07 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 228 | $0.972 | $221.62 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 292 | $0.950 | $277.4 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?No | buy | 179.03 | $0.290 | $51.92 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 163 | $0.890 | $145.07 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 279 | $0.210 | $58.59 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 292 | $0.960 | $280.32 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 141 | $0.880 | $124.08 | Jan 1, 2026 |