Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.962 | $392.2 | +$7.4 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 ECB rate cut in 2026?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.900 | $1.6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 370.5 |
| $0.719 |
| $345.86 |
| +$79.63 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 277.78 | $0.900 | $269.31 | +$19.31 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 87.8 | $0.485 | $82.97 | +$40.38 |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | No | 71.01 | $0.845 | $66.01 | +$6.01 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 45.98 | $0.870 | $42.99 | +$2.99 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 151.55 | $0.261 | $32.58 | -$7.01 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.84 | $0.910 | $20.42 | +$0.55 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 14.93 | $0.670 | $4.03 | -$5.97 |
| sell |
| 316.23 |
| $0.016 |
| $5.18 |
| May 9, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 62.16 | $0.890 | $55.32 | May 9, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 84 | $0.910 | $76.44 | May 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.23 | $0.610 | $1.97 | May 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.7 | $0.610 | $2.87 | May 7, 2026 |
 Major US official out by April 30?No | buy | 53.72 | $0.810 | $43.51 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will a hurricane form by May 31?Yes | buy | 12.7 | $0.035 | $0.44 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 52.72 | $0.270 | $14.23 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.962 | $192.4 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.962 | $192.4 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 81.63 | $0.049 | $4 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | sell | 87.79 | $0.643 | $56.45 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?No | sell | 33.49 | $0.870 | $29.14 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?No | buy | 24.19 | $0.620 | $15 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.600 | $16.21 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will a hurricane form by May 31?Yes | sell | 67.87 | $0.091 | $6.16 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?No | sell | 40.92 | $0.690 | $28.23 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 89.96 | $0.960 | $86.36 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | sell | 129.2 | $0.983 | $127.02 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yes | sell | 25.86 | $0.160 | $4.14 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | sell | 64.12 | $0.442 | $28.33 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 137.79 | $0.944 | $130.05 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.111 | $10 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | buy | 148.15 | $0.270 | $40 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will a hurricane form by May 31?Yes | sell | 94.26 | $0.116 | $10.93 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 159.57 | $0.940 | $150 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 160.64 | $0.934 | $150.04 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 26.6 | $0.940 | $25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?No | sell | 392.53 | $0.115 | $45.28 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 465.65 | $0.080 | $37.25 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 465.65 | $0.090 | $41.91 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?No | buy | 392.53 | $0.293 | $115 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 150.53 | $0.765 | $115.13 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 53.85 | $0.130 | $7 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.985 | $25.92 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.120 | $8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Jan 30, 2026 |