Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 110 | $0.285 | $26.02 | -$5.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in December?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 170 |
| $0.195 |
| $13.01 |
| -$20.09 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | No | 10 | $0.890 | $9.75 | +$0.85 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.870 | $9.35 | +$0.65 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.590 | $4.85 | -$1.05 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.300 | $1.65 | -$7.35 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.300 | $1.6 | -$4.4 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.415 | $1.5 | -$6.8 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.280 | $1.22 | -$7.19 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10 | $0.310 | $1.21 | -$1.9 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | Yes | 20 | $0.190 | $0.18 | -$3.62 |
| buy |
| 21.29 |
| $0.340 |
| $7.24 |
| Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.979 | $9.79 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.130 | $5.2 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.160 | $6.4 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.670 | $6.7 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.966 | $9.66 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.982 | $19.64 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.968 | $19.36 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.974 | $29.22 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?No | buy | 19.98 | $0.967 | $19.32 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.969 | $29.07 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.962 | $9.62 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | sell | 105.68 | $0.995 | $105.15 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.966 | $9.66 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.270 | $5.4 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 59.18 | $0.987 | $58.41 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 36.5 | $0.985 | $35.95 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Nov 24, 2025 |