Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 12.09 | $0.910 | $11.65 | +$0.65 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.02 |
| $0.991 |
| $2.01 |
| +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 2.02 |
| $0.989 |
| $2 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
 LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group StageT1 | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.957 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 12.09 | $0.910 | $11 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Keir Starmer say "Footing" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Nevada Wolf Pack vs. New MexicoNew Mexico | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.991 | $2 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Kai Cenat hit 1m Twitch subscribers during MAFIATHON 3?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Sovereignty" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.590 | $1.5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 11.57 | $0.951 | $11 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in July?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Trump approval >40% on July 1?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | May 25, 2025 |
 Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 23–30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy purchases >14000 BTC May 20-26?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.860 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.947 | $1 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.924 | $1 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 10.9 | $0.970 | $10.57 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Evidence released proving JFK assassination was an inside job by Feb 10?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 US bank failure before March?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in 2025?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before April?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.969 | $1.2 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon be worth $500b before March?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.930 | $1.3 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.950 | $1.1 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Bird flu declared public health emergency before April?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.790 | $0.9 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 20-27?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.997 | $1.3 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 0.88 | $0.570 | $0.5 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will 'Nosferatu' gross under $20m on 5-day opening weekend?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.977 | $2 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Mike Evans reach 1,000 receiving yards this season?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.680 | $0.7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Sisi out as President of Egypt by March 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.900 | $0.9 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | Dec 5, 2024 |