Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 36.07 | $0.554 | $30.84 | +$10.84 |
 RFK Jr. Out by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 25.97 | $0.920 | $23.89 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 27.16 |
| $0.736 |
| $19.56 |
| -$0.44 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 24.39 | $0.410 | $13.05 | +$3.05 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.510 | $8.53 | -$21.47 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 212.5 | $0.118 | $6.69 | -$18.31 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 89.94 | $0.334 | $5.26 | -$24.74 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.320 | $4.69 | -$15.31 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 181.82 | $0.110 | $4.09 | -$15.91 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.480 | $2.92 | -$7.08 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.250 | $2.6 | -$7.4 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $1.79 | -$8.21 |
| sell |
| 112.99 |
| $0.200 |
| $22.6 |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No | sell | 46.2 | $0.910 | $42.06 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.997 | $30.21 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 335.36 | $0.194 | $65 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 157.89 | $0.190 | $30 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 65.22 | $0.460 | $30 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.720 | $30 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.510 | $30 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 112.99 | $0.177 | $20 | Apr 4, 2026 |
 Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes | sell | 45.8 | $0.987 | $45.19 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.999 | $26.99 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | sell | 31.94 | $0.999 | $31.91 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 36.07 | $0.554 | $20 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?No | buy | 32.73 | $0.910 | $29.78 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No | buy | 55.77 | $0.700 | $39.04 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?No | buy | 35.65 | $0.830 | $29.59 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No | buy | 45.53 | $0.640 | $29.14 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.988 | $30.89 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?No | buy | 32.52 | $0.615 | $20 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | buy | 36.55 | $0.547 | $20 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | buy | 28.75 | $0.626 | $18 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No | buy | 87.14 | $0.344 | $30 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?No | buy | 32.95 | $0.607 | $20 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | sell | 14.73 | $0.211 | $3.11 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | sell | 19.64 | $0.210 | $4.12 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 43.24 | $0.694 | $30 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?No | sell | 24.09 | $0.360 | $8.67 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 37.7 | $0.530 | $20 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?No | buy | 48.39 | $0.620 | $30 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Leadership Change | buy | 54.55 | $0.550 | $30 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.310 | $100 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.240 | $30 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 30.34 | $0.659 | $20 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?No | buy | 16.16 | $0.619 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |