Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.2 | $0.400 | $0.48 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1 |
| $0.997 |
| $1 |
| Dec 23, 2025 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.828 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.950 | $2 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.954 | $2 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.983 | $4.92 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.67K | $0.996 | $1.66K | Nov 11, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.973 | $2 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.997 | $1.66K | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.67K | $0.993 | $1.66K | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.994 | $1.66K | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 11?Yes | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.68K | $0.995 | $1.68K | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.68K | $0.997 | $1.68K | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 6?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high by October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.893 | $2 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 21?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.001 | $1.29 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 15–20%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 10–15%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 10–15%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.979 | $0.1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?No | buy | 0.12 | $0.860 | $0.1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.947 | $0.1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.955 | $0.1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.986 | $0.1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.1 | $0.999 | $0.1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 $100m in $WLFI sold before election?Yes | sell | 380 | $0.003 | $1.14 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| $100m in $WLFI sold before election?Yes | buy | 380 | $0.005 | $1.9 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in October?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in October?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.003 | $0.6 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in October?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.003 | $0.38 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in October?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Farcaster airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.71 | $0.070 | $0.05 | Oct 18, 2024 |
| Farcaster airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.71 | $0.070 | $0.05 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Avail airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.17 | $0.290 | $0.05 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Rainbow airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.33 | $0.150 | $0.05 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Swell airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.975 | $0.05 | Oct 18, 2024 |