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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? | No | 99 | $0.290 | $60.39 | +$31.68 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?No | sell | 310 | $0.820 | $254.2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 24 |
| $0.710 |
| $22.92 |
| +$5.88 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 20.6 | $0.550 | $14.94 | +$3.61 |
 Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | 2 | $0.966 | $1.95 | +$0.02 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 3 | $0.240 | $0.5 | -$0.23 |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | Yes | 3.89 | $0.038 | $0.09 | -$0.06 |
| sell |
| 25 |
| $0.280 |
| $7 |
| Feb 8, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?No | sell | 323 | $0.710 | $229.33 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?No | buy | 838 | $0.860 | $720.68 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?No | sell | 52 | $0.570 | $29.64 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?No | sell | 12 | $0.550 | $6.6 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?No | sell | 661 | $0.550 | $363.55 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 14?No | buy | 725 | $0.540 | $391.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 246 | $0.750 | $184.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?No | sell | 172.14 | $0.770 | $132.55 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will the Pittsburgh Steelers be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No | sell | 133 | $0.660 | $87.78 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 246 | $0.760 | $186.96 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers be eliminated in the Divisional Round?No | buy | 133 | $0.700 | $93.1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 115 | $0.140 | $16.1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?No | sell | 319 | $0.720 | $229.68 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?No | buy | 220 | $0.750 | $165 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?No | buy | 319 | $0.740 | $236.06 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Day Care" or "Daycare" this week? (January 11)No | sell | 426 | $0.880 | $374.88 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?No | buy | 323 | $0.750 | $242.25 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?No | sell | 169 | $0.180 | $30.42 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?No | sell | 153 | $0.700 | $107.1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | sell | 48 | $0.580 | $27.84 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Day Care" or "Daycare" this week? (January 11)No | buy | 504 | $0.770 | $388.08 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?No | buy | 169 | $0.170 | $28.73 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?No | buy | 99 | $0.290 | $28.71 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Vanta IPO before 2027?No | sell | 106 | $0.710 | $75.26 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Vanta IPO before 2027?No | buy | 106 | $0.720 | $76.32 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?No | sell | 725 | $0.670 | $485.75 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Transgender women be banned from the Olympics before Winter Games?No | buy | 725 | $0.670 | $485.75 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | sell | 125 | $0.440 | $55 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | sell | 634 | $0.760 | $481.84 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?No | buy | 634 | $0.740 | $469.16 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?No | sell | 12 | $0.230 | $2.76 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No | sell | 207 | $0.570 | $117.99 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No | buy | 48 | $0.520 | $24.96 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 369 | $0.140 | $51.66 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No | sell | 808 | $0.140 | $113.12 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.150 | $176.55 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?No | buy | 153 | $0.750 | $114.75 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?No | sell | 610 | $0.880 | $536.8 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?No | buy | 610 | $0.890 | $542.9 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 150 | $0.330 | $49.5 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No | buy | 207 | $0.590 | $122.13 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 265 | $0.340 | $90.1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 242 | $0.340 | $82.28 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | sell | 23 | $0.250 | $5.75 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No | sell | 375 | $0.130 | $48.75 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No | buy | 125 | $0.420 | $52.5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?No | buy | 12 | $0.280 | $3.36 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No | buy | 110 | $0.580 | $63.8 | Jan 8, 2026 |