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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?No | sell | 321.16 | $0.500 | $160.58 | Jan 13, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 321.16 |
| $0.500 |
| $160.58 |
| Jan 12, 2026 |
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?No | buy | 146 | $0.901 | $131.61 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?No | buy | 100 | $0.445 | $44.5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-22?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.390 | $42.9 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-22?Yes | buy | 60.33 | $0.390 | $23.53 | Nov 22, 2025 |
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)Hooker | sell | 168.13 | $0.140 | $23.54 | Nov 22, 2025 |
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)Hooker | buy | 168.13 | $0.150 | $25.22 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Gold Mansacks win the Orderly trading competition?Yes | sell | 106.74 | $0.236 | $25.22 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Gold Mansacks win the Orderly trading competition?Yes | buy | 106.75 | $0.303 | $32.33 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | sell | 41.45 | $0.780 | $32.33 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3)FURIA | buy | 105.13 | $0.480 | $50.46 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.370 | $15 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will EA say "Acquisition" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 41.45 | $0.897 | $37.18 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.270 | $15 | Oct 27, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.020 | $2.11 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 26.66 | $0.270 | $7.2 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 48.42 | $0.500 | $24.21 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.120 | $25 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 265.3 | $0.540 | $143.26 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 758.47 | $0.157 | $119.2 | Sep 9, 2025 |
Will Brazil win on 2025-09-09?Yes | buy | 567.4 | $0.442 | $250.98 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will "Hamilton" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $9.5m and $11m?No | buy | 525.42 | $0.190 | $100 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will "Hamilton" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $9.5m and $11m?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.180 | $30 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will "Hamilton" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $8.8m?Yes | buy | 266.06 | $0.038 | $10 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will "Hamilton" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $8.8m and $9.5m?Yes | buy | 195.67 | $0.051 | $10 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Will "Hamilton" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $11m?Yes | buy | 216.59 | $0.120 | $26 | Sep 6, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 163.27 | $0.490 | $80 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.490 | $50 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 508.47 | $0.059 | $30 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will "The Conjuring: Last Rites" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $67m?Yes | buy | 186.24 | $0.537 | $100 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.120 | $25 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.300 | $8 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 48.43 | $0.413 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80-90 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 141.04 | $0.149 | $21 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Putin" during his announcement on September 2?Yes | buy | 84.35 | $0.595 | $50.21 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Golf" during his announcement on September 2?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Emergency" during his announcement on September 2?Yes | sell | 118.06 | $0.510 | $60.21 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Emergency" during his announcement on September 2?Yes | buy | 118.06 | $0.466 | $54.97 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 26-September 1?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.072 | $45 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?Up | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 24?Up | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Aug 24, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Aug 24, 2025 |