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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 8.44 | $0.710 | $7.64 | +$1.65 |
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 16, 2026 |
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| No |
| 9.15 |
| $0.620 |
| $7.18 |
| +$1.51 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 11.91 | $0.430 | $6.01 | +$0.89 |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.36 | $0.710 | $5.98 | +$0.04 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 10.34 | $0.580 | $5.84 | -$0.16 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 9.36 | $0.370 | $5.29 | +$1.83 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7.1 | $0.680 | $5.15 | +$0.32 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.77 | $0.570 | $4.43 | -$0.57 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 7.79 | $0.240 | $3.23 | +$1.36 |
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 8.1 | $0.270 | $2.35 | +$0.16 |
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.810 | $2.16 | +$0.11 |
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.200 | $1.16 | -$0.09 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.39 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 9.16 |
| $0.550 |
| $5.04 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.280 | $2.24 | Jul 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | Jul 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.800 | $4.86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.290 | $1.74 | Jul 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No | buy | 9.13 | $0.335 | $3.06 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.410 | $1.23 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.810 | $2.05 | Jun 18, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.98 | $0.440 | $1.31 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.210 | $1.47 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.91 | $0.430 | $5.12 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 7.75 | $0.240 | $1.86 | May 27, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.680 | $4.83 | May 27, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.200 | $1.25 | May 11, 2026 |
Meta (META) Up or Down on May 11?Up | buy | 9 | $0.470 | $4.23 | May 11, 2026 |
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 9.15 | $0.620 | $5.67 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.11 | $0.620 | $4.41 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.64 | $0.360 | $3.11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 8.1 | $0.260 | $2.11 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 10.34 | $0.580 | $6 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?Yes | buy | 8.35 | $0.330 | $2.75 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No | buy | 7.65 | $0.770 | $5.89 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.610 | $5.81 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of April 20 2026?Yes | buy | 11.09 | $0.520 | $5.77 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will BP (BP) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.800 | $5.88 | Apr 21, 2026 |
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.44 | $0.710 | $5.99 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes | buy | 9.83 | $0.400 | $3.93 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.610 | $5.81 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 28.72 | $0.080 | $2.3 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.59 | $0.220 | $1.67 | Apr 11, 2026 |
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?Yes | buy | 8.44 | $0.300 | $2.53 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.560 | $6 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?No | buy | 8.44 | $0.710 | $5.99 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.780 | $6 | Apr 9, 2026 |
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 9?Down | buy | 9.41 | $0.500 | $4.7 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.220 | $1.54 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.260 | $1.93 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes | buy | 8.1 | $0.270 | $2.19 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.450 | $4.55 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 8.57 | $0.310 | $2.66 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.69 | $0.690 | $6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchSomething | buy | 10.34 | $0.580 | $6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 10.52 | $0.570 | $6 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?Yes | buy | 8.21 | $0.730 | $5.99 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.580 | $6 | Mar 15, 2026 |