Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | Yes | 154.17 | $0.239 | $43.17 | +$6.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | 1h ago |
|
| No |
| 20.42 |
| $0.930 |
| $19.95 |
| +$0.95 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 18.92 | $0.898 | $18.17 | +$1.17 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 110.7 | $0.220 | $16.05 | -$8.26 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 29.7 | $0.404 | $15.15 | +$3.15 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 17.3 | $0.865 | $14.96 | -$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 12.95 | $0.972 | $12.74 | +$0.16 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 15.41 | $0.389 | $8.78 | +$2.78 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 7.4 | $0.945 | $7.17 | +$0.17 |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | No | 5.54 | $0.902 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 9.52 | $0.630 | $4 | -$2 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | Yes | 31.71 | $0.126 | $3.96 | -$0.04 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 7.25 | $0.487 | $3.12 | -$0.42 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 3.35 | $0.897 | $3.06 | +$0.06 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | Yes | 12.86 | $0.151 | $2.76 | +$0.82 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 2.12 | $0.946 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 5.15 | $0.388 | $1.81 | -$0.19 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 73.82 | $0.068 | $1.18 | -$3.82 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
 Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 2.08 |
| $0.480 |
| $1 |
| 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 1h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 2h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 2h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 6.51 | $0.720 | $4.69 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.720 | $0.07 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.690 | $0.14 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.08 | $0.700 | $0.06 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.700 | $0.06 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.700 | $0.11 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.710 | $0.07 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.710 | $0.07 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.710 | $0.07 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.1 | $0.710 | $0.07 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 4.68 | $0.710 | $3.32 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.710 | $0.21 | 2h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 3.55 | $0.570 | $2.02 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 5.32 | $0.530 | $2.82 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.570 | $2.86 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.550 | $0.17 | 3h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 17.6 | $0.530 | $9.33 | 3h ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | 5h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 5h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | 5h ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.990 | $1.01 | 5h ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.991 | $1.01 | 5h ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.27 | $0.140 | $0.46 | 5h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.984 | $0.19 | 13h ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | 21h ago |