Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?Yes | sell | 35.92 | $0.974 | $34.99 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 18.33 |
| $0.982 |
| $18 |
| Apr 28, 2026 |
 Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?No | sell | 7.17 | $0.993 | $7.12 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.26 | $0.970 | $7.04 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 15.35 | $0.430 | $6.6 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 2.46 | $0.440 | $1.08 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 0.87 | $0.923 | $0.8 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | sell | 78.02 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 12.56 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.270 | $0.07 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.25 | $0.027 | $0.22 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.979 | $0.15 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | sell | 88.85 | $0.002 | $0.18 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.37 | $0.170 | $0.23 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by June 30?No | sell | 0.64 | $0.974 | $0.62 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 17.48 | $0.018 | $0.31 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 44.65 | $0.012 | $0.54 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.190 | $0.56 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.760 | $0.78 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 185.79 | $0.004 | $0.74 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 176.11 | $0.006 | $1.06 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 33.58 | $0.011 | $0.38 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 131.52 | $0.005 | $0.63 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 10.48 | $0.118 | $1.24 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes | sell | 182.14 | $0.010 | $1.82 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 6.72 | $0.270 | $1.81 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?Yes | sell | 179 | $0.005 | $0.81 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 501.12 | $0.006 | $3.01 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 8.78 | $0.060 | $0.53 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?Yes | sell | 575.31 | $0.004 | $2.3 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 11.41 | $0.230 | $2.62 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.11 | $0.230 | $2.79 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets | sell | 5.74 | $0.560 | $3.21 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 4.11 | $0.950 | $3.9 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 14.77 | $0.340 | $5.02 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.780 | $4.59 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 9.83 | $0.360 | $3.54 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 20.69 | $0.220 | $4.55 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs | sell | 5.67 | $0.830 | $4.71 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.920 | $4.94 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?No | sell | 11.86 | $0.280 | $3.32 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?No | sell | 5.25 | $0.969 | $5.09 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 FDA approves a psychedelic for medical use in 2026?No | sell | 10.3 | $0.540 | $5.56 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?No | sell | 12.56 | $0.381 | $4.79 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. RocketsRockets | sell | 58.76 | $0.105 | $6.17 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 8?No | sell | 6.46 | $0.995 | $6.43 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 6.72 | $0.976 | $6.56 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 44.01 | $0.210 | $9.24 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.95 | $0.925 | $8.28 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 15.69 | $0.900 | $14.12 | Apr 28, 2026 |