Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | sell | 90 | $0.631 | $56.8 | Apr 16, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 400 |
| $0.380 |
| $152.07 |
| Apr 5, 2026 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No | buy | 5.4K | $0.185 | $997 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 7.46K | $0.004 | $29.83 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.006 | $29.84 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.54K | $0.002 | $5.09 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 500 | $0.041 | $20.5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.032 | $32 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 187.82K | $0.004 | $835.93 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.36K | $0.003 | $8 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 30.59K | $0.003 | $100 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 33.33K | $0.003 | $100 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 7K | $0.042 | $291.09 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 25K | $0.030 | $752.84 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 157.41K | $0.002 | $314.82 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.031 | $311.5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 145K | $0.002 | $290 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 10K | $0.029 | $292.72 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 47K | $0.002 | $94 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.041 | $42.22 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 246 | $0.030 | $7.38 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.030 | $45 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.032 | $48.43 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.015 | $59.1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 1.35K | $0.022 | $29.7 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 5.2K | $0.006 | $31 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.006 | $7 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.13K | $0.006 | $6.8 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?Yes | buy | 99K | $0.001 | $99 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.005 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 5K | $0.008 | $40 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 6.25K | $0.008 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 15K | $0.006 | $86.1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 13.19K | $0.024 | $320 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.162 | $324.49 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.06K | $0.023 | $70 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 4.74K | $0.021 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.170 | $170 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 9.89K | $0.020 | $200 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.160 | $200 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.5K | $0.004 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1.17K | $0.043 | $50.23 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13K | $0.003 | $39 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.039 | $39.02 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 4.38K | $0.027 | $119.98 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 13.23K | $0.009 | $119.09 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.033 | $77 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.52K | $0.025 | $62 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.96K | $0.025 | $50 | Jan 26, 2026 |