Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? | No | 646.87 | $0.661 | $456.04 | +$28.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.820 | $20.5 | 5h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 239 |
| $0.702 |
| $203.15 |
| +$35.37 |
 Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | No | 336.39 | $0.704 | $193.42 | -$43.43 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | No | 212.49 | $0.630 | $189.12 | +$55.22 |
 Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 235.08 | $0.707 | $183.36 | +$17.14 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | Yes | 191.23 | $0.831 | $141.51 | -$17.45 |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 299.47 | $0.428 | $128.77 | +$0.58 |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | No | 100 | $0.803 | $98.9 | +$18.6 |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? | No | 77.13 | $0.625 | $56.69 | +$8.5 |
 Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by September 15? | No | 30.81 | $0.855 | $28.81 | +$2.46 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.210 | $15.5 | -$5.5 |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 31.2 | $0.506 | $14.82 | -$0.97 |
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | Yes | 1.45K | $0.001 | $10.17 | +$8.72 |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | Yes | 226.07 | $0.001 | $1.36 | +$1.1 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | Yes | 7.49 | $0.001 | $0 | -$0 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.814 |
| $40.7 |
| 5h ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.95 | $0.780 | $3.08 | 6h ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.770 | $15.4 | 6h ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.31 | $0.740 | $17.25 | 6h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 61.14 | $0.980 | $59.92 | 6h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 12.79 | $0.980 | $12.53 | 6h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | sell | 86.72 | $0.024 | $2.1 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 77.13 | $0.625 | $48.19 | 6h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | 9h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | 9h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | 9h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 49.99 | $0.660 | $32.99 | 9h ago |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.510 | $20.91 | 10h ago |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 10h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | 10h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.800 | $28 | 10h ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | sell | 34.4 | $0.810 | $27.86 | 10h ago |
 Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | 10h ago |
| Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | 10h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.510 | $20.4 | 10h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.520 | $41.6 | 10h ago |
| Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 10h ago |
| Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 12, 2026?No | buy | 29.46 | $0.740 | $21.8 | 10h ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 71 | $0.150 | $10.65 | 10h ago |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 102.76 | $0.434 | $44.61 | 11h ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.769 | $15.38 | 11h ago |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 44.9 | $0.769 | $34.53 | 11h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 44.47 | $0.640 | $28.46 | 11h ago |
| Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by September 15?No | sell | 17.4 | $0.940 | $16.36 | 11h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 42.6 | $0.630 | $26.84 | 11h ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 161.81 | $0.623 | $100.82 | 11h ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No | sell | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | 11h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 168 | $0.720 | $120.96 | 14h ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.987 | $5.16 | 18h ago |
| Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.43 | $0.001 | $0.06 | 19h ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 109 | $0.160 | $17.44 | 19h ago |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | 19h ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?No | sell | 9.68 | $0.190 | $1.84 | 19h ago |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?No | sell | 123.21 | $0.230 | $28.34 | 19h ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.988 | $5.17 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by September 15?No | buy | 60 | $0.860 | $51.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.500 | $21 | 1d ago |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.510 | $15.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.520 | $31.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | sell | 33.44 | $0.004 | $0.13 | 1d ago |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Yes | sell | 44.07 | $0.010 | $0.45 | 1d ago |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.380 | $20.14 | 1d ago |