Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 16.46 |
| $0.982 |
| $16.16 |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 505 | $0.984 | $496.92 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 505 | $0.985 | $497.43 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 508.13 | $0.984 | $500 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 509.99 | $0.977 | $498.26 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 43.0 on October 24 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on October 17 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation before October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on August 12?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 25% Japan tariff in effect by August 1?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 16–23?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.002 | $4 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Duterte released from custody by Friday?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.33K | $0.001 | $1.33 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.003 | $4 | Mar 13, 2025 |
 Will Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 26, 2025 |
| Will Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Gustavo Petro out as Colombia president before March?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will US gov sell Bitcoin before March?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.002 | $1.33 | Feb 8, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 23, 2025 |
 Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.002 | $1.33 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.003 | $2 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Will Ivana Kekin be the next President of Croatia?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Ivana Kekin be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Ivana Kekin be the next President of Croatia?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.5 | $0.998 | $0.5 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will NDC win the most seats in the Ghanaian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.940 | $0.5 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 0.56 | $0.897 | $0.5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.5 | $0.998 | $0.5 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 0.51 | $0.974 | $0.5 | Nov 8, 2024 |