Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.23 | $0.910 | $21.35 | +$1.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Yes | buy | 4.96 | $0.850 | $4.22 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 49.81 |
| $0.562 |
| $17.93 |
| -$10.08 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 18.21 | $0.883 | $17.35 | +$1.26 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | No | 10.63 | $0.780 | $10.55 | +$2.26 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 9.94 | $0.801 | $8.89 | +$0.93 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | Yes | 9.94 | $0.885 | $8.2 | -$0.6 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 7.8 | $0.983 | $7.67 | $0 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | No | 4.99 | $0.965 | $4.94 | +$0.12 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.11 | $0.823 | $4.66 | -$1.19 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 21.69 | $0.460 | $4.23 | -$5.74 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 8.58 | $0.540 | $4.03 | -$0.6 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 25.76 | $0.121 | $3.99 | +$0.86 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 5.01 | $0.680 | $3.93 | +$0.52 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 34.48 | $0.162 | $3.62 | -$1.97 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 146.33 | $0.042 | $3.59 | -$2.57 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 151.25 | $0.016 | $3.03 | +$0.61 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 2.74 | $0.586 | $2.66 | +$1.06 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? | Yes | 16.73 | $0.150 | $2.59 | +$0.08 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 6.97 | $0.300 | $1.99 | -$0.1 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 8.71 | $0.340 | $1.61 | -$1.35 |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | $0 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 21.9 | $0.100 | $0.51 | -$1.68 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | Yes | 0.91 | $0.100 | $0.05 | -$0.04 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | Yes | 20 | $0.032 | $0.03 | -$0.61 |
| buy |
| 4.99 |
| $0.965 |
| $4.82 |
| 1d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | 1d ago |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 88.75 | $0.016 | $1.42 | 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | 2d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?Yes | buy | 16.73 | $0.150 | $2.51 | 3d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.920 | $4.58 | 3d ago |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 7.8 | $0.983 | $7.67 | 3d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.23 | $0.910 | $20.23 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.2 | $0.025 | $1.53 | 3d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 21.9 | $0.959 | $21 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | sell | 5.86 | $0.920 | $5.39 | 6d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 17.33 | $0.580 | $10.05 | 8d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.600 | $4.39 | 8d ago |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Yes | buy | 0.91 | $0.100 | $0.09 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.2 | $0.050 | $2.51 | 10d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 67.34 | $0.001 | $0.07 | 12d ago |
 Will Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?No | buy | 4.91 | $0.550 | $2.7 | 15d ago |
 Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes | buy | 0.42 | $0.550 | $0.23 | 15d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.930 | $4.63 | 15d ago |
 Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesNo | buy | 4.9 | $0.610 | $2.99 | 16d ago |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York MetsNo | buy | 4.9 | $0.610 | $2.99 | 16d ago |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. New York YankeesNo | buy | 4.86 | $0.510 | $2.48 | 16d ago |
 Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by August 31?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.970 | $4.84 | 16d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.9 | $0.100 | $2.19 | 17d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.032 | $0.64 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 15.73 | $0.160 | $2.52 | 17d ago |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres | buy | 5.5 | $0.520 | $2.86 | 19d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.028 | $0.28 | 20d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 10.8 | $0.830 | $8.96 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.43 | $0.120 | $1.61 | 20d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | 20d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?Yes | buy | 5.84 | $0.995 | $5.81 | 21d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.35 | $0.034 | $1.1 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No | buy | 8.71 | $0.340 | $2.96 | 21d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.200 | $2.1 | 22d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.63 | $0.780 | $8.29 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.36 | $0.420 | $4.35 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | 23d ago |
 Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica | buy | 4.91 | $0.670 | $3.29 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.130 | $1.12 | 23d ago |
 Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-08-19?No | buy | 4.9 | $0.600 | $2.94 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.49 | $0.530 | $5.03 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 24d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.510 | $2.54 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.98 | $0.510 | $2.54 | 25d ago |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers | buy | 4.9 | $0.620 | $3.04 | 25d ago |