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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 5.2K | $0.008 | $43.96 | May 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 6.44K |
| $0.001 |
| $6.44 |
| May 24, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 222 | $0.771 | $171.16 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No | sell | 1K | $0.593 | $592.93 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | May 23, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 2.13K | $0.040 | $85.36 | May 22, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 115.17 | $0.040 | $4.61 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 368.42 | $0.130 | $47.89 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 368.42 | $0.570 | $210 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?No | sell | 2.8K | $0.001 | $2.8 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 6.53K | $0.007 | $48.7 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 3.39K | $0.020 | $67.78 | May 18, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | sell | 8.8K | $0.005 | $47.54 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 8.83K | $0.014 | $120.44 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 8.5K | $0.014 | $121.27 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 1.68K | $0.015 | $25 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.014 | $35 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 2.81K | $0.018 | $50 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 3.68K | $0.016 | $60 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.015 | $15 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.015 | $25 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.009 | $30 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.009 | $20 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 625 | $0.008 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.008 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | sell | 8.04K | $0.025 | $200.88 | May 18, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | sell | 31.08 | $0.050 | $1.56 | May 17, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.048 | $56.64 | May 16, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.060 | $2.7 | May 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ETDown | buy | 401 | $0.631 | $253.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETUp | buy | 294.25 | $0.306 | $90 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp | buy | 389.16 | $0.475 | $184.88 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp | sell | 573.54 | $0.990 | $567.8 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 550.83 | $0.471 | $259.38 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETUp | buy | 234.16 | $0.414 | $97.06 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 612.84 | $0.019 | $11.64 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?Up | buy | 1K | $0.050 | $50 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 398.8 | $0.251 | $100 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | sell | 395.16 | $0.991 | $391.6 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 687.43 | $0.980 | $673.8 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 573.95 | $0.393 | $225.76 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 260.21 | $0.450 | $117 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 395.16 | $0.506 | $200 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 4.73K | $0.011 | $51.98 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.015 | $33.39 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 413.97 | $0.026 | $10.76 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.017 | $84.48 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 8.68K | $0.003 | $26.03 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 379.99 | $0.066 | $25.08 | Jan 31, 2026 |