Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paul Reevs be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?No | buy | 16.47 | $0.967 | $15.93 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 14.53 |
| $0.982 |
| $14.27 |
| Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | buy | 14.53 | $0.966 | $14.04 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 16.37 | $0.890 | $14.57 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.900 | $6.33 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.34 | $0.900 | $8.41 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?No | buy | 12.58 | $0.985 | $12.39 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Stagflation" this week? (February 8)No | buy | 14.61 | $0.990 | $14.46 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 16.58 | $0.998 | $16.55 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?No | buy | 15.54 | $0.974 | $15.14 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Khamenei public appearance by Friday?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.860 | $5.35 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?No | buy | 16.18 | $0.982 | $15.89 | Jan 9, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 16.72 | $0.982 | $16.42 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 James Comey in jail in 2025?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.999 | $2.45 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.984 | $2.03 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.5 | $0.989 | $4.45 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.22 | $0.880 | $3.71 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.15 | $0.520 | $0.6 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.899 | $1.02 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.660 | $2.79 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.940 | $1.09 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.998 | $1.3 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.994 | $1.18 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer by October 10?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.999 | $2.05 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.59 | $0.980 | $2.54 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 30-October 6?No | buy | 3.98 | $0.999 | $3.98 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy before October?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.999 | $2.91 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Supreme Court decides to hear Ghislaine Maxwell by September 30?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.996 | $2.06 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on September 19?No | buy | 2.62 | $0.998 | $2.61 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?Yes | sell | 8.43 | $0.997 | $8.4 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?Yes | buy | 8.44 | $0.998 | $8.42 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Megaquake by August 31?No | buy | 3.12 | $0.998 | $3.11 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?No | buy | 8.95 | $0.999 | $8.94 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | buy | 9.1 | $0.999 | $9.09 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?No | buy | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.999 | $1.53 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.997 | $1.15 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.999 | $1.06 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Romania's court annul the presidential election?No | sell | 2.78 | $0.996 | $2.77 | Jul 19, 2025 |
 U.S. enacts stablecoin bill in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 8-14?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.984 | $1.1 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran before August?No | buy | 2.84 | $0.994 | $2.82 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before August?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.991 | $2.28 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 4.59 | $0.990 | $4.54 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Yes | buy | 227.48 | $0.400 | $90.99 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?Yes | buy | 26.47 | $0.320 | $8.47 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 101.88 | $0.971 | $98.93 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 101.89 | $0.990 | $100.87 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Yes | buy | 25.41 | $0.997 | $25.33 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.59 | $0.993 | $4.56 | Jul 4, 2025 |