Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.270 | $6.78 | +$0.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.958 | $28.74 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.25K |
| $0.004 |
| $5.63 |
| +$0.63 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5.57 | +$0.57 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5.29 | +$0.29 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 10.2 | $0.460 | $5.05 | +$0.36 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.230 | $4.57 | -$0.43 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50.99 | $0.091 | $3.65 | -$0.99 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 19.44 | $0.180 | $2.82 | -$0.68 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 20 | $0.150 | $2.7 | -$0.3 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.090 | $2.5 | -$0.5 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.280 | $2.38 | -$4.63 |
 Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.300 | $2.35 | -$0.65 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 51.28 | $0.039 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.160 | $1.69 | -$0.31 |
| buy |
| 1.25K |
| $0.004 |
| $5 |
| 4d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | 4d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.270 | $6 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.410 | $6.03 | 5d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | sell | 37.57 | $0.100 | $3.76 | 6d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.021 | $3 | 9d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.670 | $20.94 | 17d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.090 | $3.46 | 23d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | 25d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | buy | 27.37 | $0.183 | $5 | 25d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 19.27 | $0.790 | $15.22 | 25d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | 25d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | 25d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.039 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | 25d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50.99 | $0.091 | $4.64 | 26d ago |
 Will Magnus Carlsen Win EWC 2026 Chess?Yes | buy | 40.61 | $0.616 | $25 | 26d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | 26d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | 26d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 10.2 | $0.460 | $4.69 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETUp | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump endorse Marco Rubio in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.28 | $0.290 | $5.59 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.44 | $0.180 | $3.5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 15.1 | $0.200 | $3.02 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 4.48 | $0.670 | $3 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 3.65 | $0.650 | $2.37 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?Yes | sell | 9.37 | $0.260 | $2.44 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.500 | $5.1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jun 10, 2026 |