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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | sell | 8.58 | $0.170 | $1.46 | Apr 3, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 8.58 |
| $0.360 |
| $3.09 |
| Apr 1, 2026 |
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes | sell | 20.63 | $0.150 | $3.09 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?Yes | buy | 20.63 | $0.190 | $3.92 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 11.5K | $0.002 | $23 | Feb 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Feb 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 152.25 | $0.020 | $3 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 14, 2026 |