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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.954 | $1.68 | 24d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 2.46 |
| $0.976 |
| $2.4 |
| Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3.6K | $0.994 | $3.58K | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.6K | $0.995 | $3.58K | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?No | buy | 379.95 | $0.005 | $1.9 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?No | buy | 110.6 | $0.036 | $3.98 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10AM ETDown | buy | 400 | $0.003 | $1.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5AM ETDown | buy | 143.04 | $0.021 | $3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4AM ETUp | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4AM ETUp | buy | 109.09 | $0.011 | $1.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 12.8 | $0.020 | $0.26 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $10 in June?No | sell | 8.6K | $0.998 | $8.58K | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Solana dip to $10 in June?No | buy | 8.6K | $0.999 | $8.59K | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 8.58K | $0.994 | $8.53K | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.73K | $0.994 | $1.72K | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.6K | $0.998 | $8.59K | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.6K | $0.999 | $8.6K | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No | sell | 8.61K | $0.998 | $8.59K | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?No | buy | 8.61K | $0.999 | $8.6K | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on May 28?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.999 | $1.06 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.993 | $2.11 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 3.24 | $0.987 | $3.2 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 19?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.980 | $2.11 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4.85 | $0.870 | $4.22 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.930 | $1.1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.986 | $1.4 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.997 | $3.6 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $310?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.985 | $1.3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 3.56 | $0.900 | $3.2 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 11 | $0.997 | $10.97 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 1.74 | $0.978 | $1.7 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 3.6 | $0.971 | $3.5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.999 | $4.4 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.994 | $1.2 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 December 22-28?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.993 | $1.1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 23?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Dec 23, 2025 |