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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 274.09K | $0.500 | $137.73K | +$685.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will England win on 2026-06-17?No | buy | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Jun 17, 2026 |
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| No |
| 274.09K |
| $0.500 |
| $136.36K |
| -$685.23 |
| buy |
| 6.71K |
| $0.990 |
| $6.64K |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 980.19 | $0.990 | $970.39 | Jun 16, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.31K | $0.990 | $41.89K | Jun 16, 2026 |
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 272K | $0.996 | $270.91K | Jun 3, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 4K | $0.870 | $3.48K | Mar 26, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.350 | $354.46 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.390 | $394.97 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 3K | $0.760 | $2.28K | Mar 20, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 99.18 | $0.750 | $74.39 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 15K | $0.973 | $14.6K | Mar 19, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 120 | $0.957 | $114.84 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 2.42K | $0.957 | $2.32K | Mar 17, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 27.18K | $0.975 | $26.5K | Feb 28, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 44.73 | $0.974 | $43.57 | Feb 28, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.810 | $1.62K | Feb 27, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.840 | $4.2K | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 49.56K | $0.964 | $47.77K | Feb 13, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 372.98 | $0.857 | $319.78 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.929 | $997.64 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?No | buy | 423.77 | $0.910 | $385.83 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?Yes | buy | 6.01K | $0.737 | $4.43K | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.88K | $0.910 | $2.62K | Jul 18, 2025 |
Astronomer Divorce ParlayNo | buy | 826.76 | $0.903 | $746.58 | Jul 18, 2025 |
Astronomer Divorce ParlayNo | buy | 2.74K | $0.895 | $2.46K | Jul 18, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.900 | $2.7K | Jul 14, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.920 | $1.19K | Jul 14, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.880 | $4.4K | Jul 14, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.870 | $60.9 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3.36K | $0.930 | $3.12K | Jul 14, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.930 | $2.11K | Jul 14, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.799 | $2.4K | Jul 14, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6K | $0.800 | $4.8K | Jul 14, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 755.35 | $0.910 | $687.37 | Jul 14, 2025 |
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.8K | $0.924 | $2.59K | Jul 14, 2025 |
Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?Yes | buy | 5.13K | $0.698 | $3.58K | Jul 11, 2025 |
Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday?No | buy | 305.84 | $0.289 | $88.49 | Jul 9, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 1.84K | $0.967 | $1.78K | Jul 7, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 7.99K | $0.992 | $7.93K | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 35.99K | $0.977 | $35.16K | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 17.33K | $0.982 | $17.02K | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | sell | 17.07K | $0.997 | $17.02K | Jun 30, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 7K | $0.940 | $6.58K | Jun 28, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 2.37K | $0.690 | $1.64K | Jun 28, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 1.13K | $0.801 | $903.77 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 1.08K | $0.800 | $863.41 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 380 | $0.796 | $302.63 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 3.77K | $0.937 | $3.53K | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 24.53K | $0.947 | $23.24K | Jun 28, 2025 |