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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 66.47 | $0.451 | $62.15 | +$32.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | 9d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 46.88 |
| $0.640 |
| $32.58 |
| +$2.58 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | No | 25.32 | $0.790 | $19.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 18.78 | $0.266 | $14.56 | +$9.56 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 32.49 | $0.308 | $8.45 | -$1.55 |
 Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 75.92 | $0.040 | $3.87 | +$0.87 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 26.67 | $0.150 | $2.67 | -$1.33 |
 Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | 15.38 | $0.130 | $1.92 | -$0.08 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | Yes | 17.69 | $0.283 | $0.8 | -$4.2 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.180 | $0.19 | -$2.81 |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | No | 8.33 | $0.240 | $0.1 | -$1.9 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | No | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0 | -$1 |
| buy |
| 15.79 |
| $0.190 |
| $3 |
| 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 78.84 | $0.038 | $3 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.1 | $0.229 | $3 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 75.92 | $0.040 | $3 | 9d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.49 | $0.308 | $10 | 9d ago |
 Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.640 | $30 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 119 | $0.017 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 AWS service disrupted by June 30?Yes | buy | 23.85 | $0.126 | $3 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 23.22 | $0.646 | $15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 23.44 | $0.640 | $15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?Yes | buy | 20.27 | $0.740 | $15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27.27 | $0.550 | $15 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 40.23 | $0.870 | $35 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | May 19, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.036 | $2 | May 19, 2026 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 40.54 | $0.740 | $30 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 35.46 | $0.564 | $20 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 66.67 | $0.550 | $36.67 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown | buy | 104.25 | $0.384 | $40 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETUp | buy | 34.25 | $0.730 | $25 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?Yes | buy | 30.99 | $0.484 | $15 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?Yes | buy | 56.6 | $0.053 | $3 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETUp | buy | 80.19 | $0.460 | $36.89 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp | sell | 152.78 | $0.675 | $103.06 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp | buy | 74.24 | $0.500 | $37.12 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp | buy | 72.9 | $0.510 | $37.18 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETUp | buy | 96.37 | $0.480 | $46.26 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown | buy | 58.96 | $0.470 | $27.71 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | sell | 52.6 | $0.760 | $39.98 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | buy | 50.84 | $0.552 | $28.06 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | sell | 64.02 | $0.600 | $38.41 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | buy | 61.39 | $0.450 | $27.62 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?Yes | buy | 49.95 | $0.200 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 66.47 | $0.451 | $30 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.69 | $0.283 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.42 | $0.352 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |