Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 217.93 | $0.884 | $188.51 | -$4.17 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.220 | $0.01 | 3h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 100.82 |
| $0.873 |
| $81.16 |
| -$6.89 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 86.04 | $0.639 | $72.15 | +$17.17 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 79.06 | $0.694 | $69.57 | +$14.67 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 79.68 | $0.440 | $40.24 | +$5.18 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 46.57 | $0.826 | $38.19 | -$0.26 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 34.1 | $0.880 | $33.32 | +$3.31 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 32.86 | $0.794 | $32.34 | +$6.22 |
 UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | Yes | 196.51 | $0.326 | $28.49 | -$35.56 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 192.78 | $0.161 | $26.02 | -$4.93 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 88.16 | $0.356 | $23.36 | -$8.05 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 115.77 | $0.249 | $22.46 | -$6.35 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 39.64 | $0.528 | $21.21 | +$0.28 |
 Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 24.75 | $0.790 | $21.03 | +$1.48 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 25.97 | $0.699 | $18.05 | -$0.11 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 28.64 | $0.604 | $17.9 | +$0.59 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 227.3 | $0.085 | $17.84 | -$1.48 |
 Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027? | Yes | 18.68 | $0.948 | $17.65 | -$0.06 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 32.44 | $0.569 | $17.36 | -$1.12 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 18.48 | $0.903 | $17.28 | +$0.59 |
 Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.08 | $0.711 | $17 | +$4.14 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 26.67 | $0.442 | $14.93 | +$3.14 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 29.71 | $0.250 | $13.77 | +$6.35 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 29.19 | $0.619 | $13.28 | -$4.8 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 59.72 | $0.257 | $12.24 | -$3.12 |
| buy |
| 10.16 |
| $0.550 |
| $5.59 |
| 3h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.650 | $0.01 | 3h ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.65 | $0.640 | $5.54 | 6h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.800 | $0.04 | 6h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.28 | $0.650 | $0.18 | 6h ago |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 4.64 | $0.810 | $3.76 | 6h ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 7.84 | $0.810 | $6.35 | 7h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 14.87 | $0.150 | $2.23 | 7h ago |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.730 | $0.02 | 7h ago |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.750 | $0.1 | 7h ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.210 | $0.02 | 8h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 35.4 | $0.150 | $5.31 | 8h ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.210 | $0.02 | 9h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 6.26 | $0.630 | $3.94 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 5.73 | $0.630 | $3.61 | 9h ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Yes | sell | 13.08 | $0.150 | $1.96 | 9h ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.210 | $3.36 | 10h ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 5.97 | $0.802 | $4.79 | 10h ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.210 | $0.04 | 10h ago |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.802 | $1.59 | 11h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.23 | $0.640 | $0.15 | 11h ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.210 | $0.07 | 11h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 10.4 | $0.800 | $8.32 | 11h ago |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20.47 | $0.120 | $2.46 | 12h ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.44 | $0.150 | $0.07 | 12h ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 16.7 | $0.280 | $4.68 | 12h ago |
 Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?No | sell | 0.77 | $0.670 | $0.52 | 12h ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.24 | $0.290 | $1.81 | 12h ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.92 | $0.240 | $3.82 | 12h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 22.39 | $0.736 | $16.47 | 12h ago |
| Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.55 | $0.200 | $3.11 | 12h ago |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 0.07 | $0.955 | $0.07 | 12h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.340 | $0.07 | 13h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 3.04 | $0.370 | $1.12 | 13h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 28.71 | $0.984 | $28.25 | 14h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 4.06 | $0.630 | $2.56 | 14h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.540 | $1.75 | 14h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 0.62 | $0.260 | $0.16 | 15h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.260 | $2.08 | 15h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.9 | $0.260 | $0.49 | 15h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.47 | $0.260 | $0.38 | 15h ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.210 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.210 | $0.23 | 1d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.67 | $0.210 | $0.77 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.260 | $3.12 | 1d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.210 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 8.18 | $0.520 | $4.25 | 1d ago |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.11 | $0.210 | $0.02 | 1d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 12.36 | $0.140 | $1.73 | 1d ago |