Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.37 | $0.890 | $2.68 | -$0.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.97 |
| $0.760 |
| $1.85 |
| +$0.35 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.55 | +$0.05 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.53 | +$0.03 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 1.66 | $0.903 | $1.51 | +$0.01 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.48 | -$0.02 |
| buy |
| 1.5 |
| $0.997 |
| $1.5 |
| 3d ago |
 GTA VI released by November 30?Yes | sell | 1.64 | $0.930 | $1.53 | 3d ago |
| GTA VI released by November 30?Yes | buy | 1.65 | $0.910 | $1.5 | 6d ago |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.990 | $1.49 | 6d ago |
| Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.992 | $1.5 | 11d ago |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.992 | $1.5 | 13d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.998 | $1.52 | 13d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | 14d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.964 | $1.66 | 14d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | 23d ago |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.903 | $1.5 | 23d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.991 | $1.5 | 25d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 1.53 | $0.983 | $1.5 | 29d ago |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 72m?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.983 | $1.5 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.984 | $1.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.986 | $1.5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.993 | $1.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.973 | $1.49 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.980 | $1.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 420m?No | buy | 1 | $0.990 | $0.99 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.993 | $1.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.992 | $1.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 1.6 | $0.950 | $1.52 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.870 | $1.5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Yes | sell | 1.52 | $0.993 | $1.51 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.981 | $1.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Yes | sell | 1.54 | $0.974 | $1.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.974 | $1.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.990 | $1.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.947 | $1.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.984 | $1.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.995 | $1.49 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.937 | $1.5 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.931 | $1.47 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.946 | $1.5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.989 | $1.48 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 1.59 | $0.930 | $1.48 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.950 | $1.53 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.940 | $1.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.840 | $1.61 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.994 | $1.5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Andrew Tate attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.987 | $1.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |