Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.109 | $13.63 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 6.66 |
| $0.251 |
| $1.67 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.100 | $0.91 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.249 | $0.83 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | sell | 6.53 | $0.080 | $0.52 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.160 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 10, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 270 or more times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.04 | $0.048 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 10, 2025 |
| Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will Portnoy give another 9+ review in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.170 | $1.13 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 7.24 | $0.184 | $1.33 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5m and $7m?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.900 | $2.04 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Another SpaceX Dragon x NASA mission to the ISS in 2025?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 275–299 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 325–349 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 37.85 | $0.026 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350–374 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will "From the World of John Wick: Ballerina" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.945 | $5.91 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump jail Elon Musk?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump by Monday?Yes | buy | 46.82 | $0.021 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will @realDonaldTrump be suspended by Friday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will @realDonaldTrump be suspended by Friday?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on June 6?Yes | buy | 135.66 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on June 6?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |