Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 444.44 | $0.180 | $72.67 | -$7.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 12.51 | $0.700 | $8.76 | 11d ago |
|
| No |
| 35.84 |
| $0.650 |
| $28.85 |
| +$5.56 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 12.51 | $0.700 | $9.82 | +$1.06 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 96.71 | $0.070 | $7.25 | +$0.48 |
| buy |
| 35.83 |
| $0.650 |
| $23.29 |
| 25d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 101.26 | $0.890 | $90.12 | 26d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 235.29 | $0.450 | $105.88 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 24.37 | $0.480 | $11.7 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 166.66 | $0.510 | $85 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 24.49 | $0.300 | $7.35 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 131.13 | $0.476 | $62.42 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 96.71 | $0.070 | $6.77 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 291.45 | $0.102 | $29.61 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 51 | $0.633 | $32.28 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.37 | $0.430 | $10.48 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 565.5 | $0.080 | $45.24 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 41.09 | $0.838 | $34.43 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 75.49 | $0.530 | $40.01 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 114.66 | $0.132 | $15.17 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | sell | 226 | $0.111 | $25.02 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?No | buy | 9.59 | $0.870 | $8.34 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 340.66 | $0.101 | $34.38 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 66.58 | $0.470 | $31.29 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 66.59 | $0.390 | $25.97 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 727.27 | $0.110 | $80 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 131.15 | $0.610 | $80 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 117.65 | $0.780 | $91.77 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 109.59 | $0.840 | $92.06 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.480 | $80 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 143.86 | $0.510 | $73.37 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 109.59 | $0.730 | $80 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 235.29 | $0.340 | $80 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.181 | $144.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No | sell | 100.01 | $0.926 | $92.65 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?No | buy | 727.27 | $0.110 | $80 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No | buy | 100.02 | $0.800 | $80 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.100 | $80 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 156.25 | $0.370 | $57.81 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 73.7 | $0.650 | $47.9 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No | sell | 94.11 | $0.900 | $84.7 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?No | sell | 170.21 | $0.510 | $86.81 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 101.27 | $0.790 | $80 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 126.98 | $0.370 | $46.98 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?No | buy | 170.21 | $0.470 | $80 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?No | buy | 94.12 | $0.850 | $80 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 73.72 | $0.489 | $36.08 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No | sell | 129.03 | $0.920 | $118.71 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | sell | 221.28 | $0.959 | $212.19 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?No | buy | 129.03 | $0.620 | $80 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Yes | buy | 221.28 | $0.362 | $80 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 51.76 | $0.630 | $32.61 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-26?No | buy | 51.46 | $0.777 | $40 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Jul 26, 2026 |