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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 9.52 | $0.840 | $8.9 | +$0.9 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.79 | $0.973 | $10.5 | 18d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 18.25 |
| $0.985 |
| $17.98 |
| 18d ago |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 18.26 | $0.986 | $18 | 18d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.5 | $0.741 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 12.26 | $0.977 | $11.98 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 12.27 | $0.978 | $12 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.840 | $8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 16.06 | $0.996 | $16 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 13.93 | $0.932 | $12.98 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 13.93 | $0.933 | $13 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.98 | $0.891 | $8 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 14.43 | $0.970 | $14 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | sell | 25.58 | $0.975 | $24.94 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 25.59 | $0.977 | $25 | May 26, 2026 |
 US bank failure by April 30?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 21.57 | $0.932 | $20.1 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 21.57 | $0.934 | $20.15 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.997 | $15 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 20.8 | $0.962 | $20 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 20.8 | $0.962 | $20.01 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.990 | $15 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | sell | 19.57 | $0.962 | $18.83 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 19.57 | $0.963 | $18.85 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $190 end of January?Yes | buy | 16.18 | $0.989 | $16 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | sell | 35.28 | $0.988 | $34.86 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | buy | 35.28 | $0.990 | $34.93 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Chainlink reach $24 in December?No | buy | 18.04 | $0.998 | $18 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 20.34 | $0.975 | $19.83 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 20.35 | $0.976 | $19.86 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?No | buy | 15.06 | $0.996 | $15 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 9.22 | $0.938 | $8.65 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 9.22 | $0.940 | $8.67 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31?No | buy | 16.23 | $0.986 | $16 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No | sell | 10.45 | $0.920 | $9.61 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.950 | $9.93 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.996 | $15 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 14.88 | $0.996 | $14.82 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 14.88 | $0.997 | $14.84 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 India strike on Pakistan by August 31?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 21.02 | $0.941 | $19.78 | Aug 27, 2025 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 21.03 | $0.945 | $19.87 | Aug 27, 2025 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 19.69 | $0.993 | $19.55 | Jul 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 19.7 | $0.994 | $19.58 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 24.68 | $0.996 | $24.58 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 24.68 | $0.997 | $24.61 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 21?Up | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | May 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 32.18 | $0.920 | $29.61 | May 21, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.18 | $0.930 | $29.93 | May 21, 2025 |