Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3.2K | $0.776 | $2.99K | +$509.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 70.79 | $0.977 | $69.16 | 11d ago |
|
| No |
| 3.1K |
| $0.753 |
| $2.65K |
| +$315.5 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | No | 1.81K | $0.688 | $1.56K | +$320.47 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.9K | $0.630 | $1.4K | +$198.51 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.2K | $0.915 | $1.13K | +$29.38 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.819 | $1.13K | -$19.99 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1.09K | $0.787 | $939.95 | +$84.97 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 900 | $0.748 | $841.5 | +$168.5 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | No | 825 | $0.761 | $803.13 | +$175.39 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 770.79 | $0.976 | $754.99 | +$2.63 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 899.99 | $0.786 | $748.34 | +$41.05 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 700 | $0.870 | $668.5 | +$59.5 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 700 | $0.860 | $661.5 | +$59.5 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 600 | $0.653 | $567 | +$175 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.920 | $467.5 | +$7.5 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | Yes | 500 | $0.846 | $445.5 | +$22.5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.837 | $424.5 | +$6 |
 Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | No | 500 | $0.820 | $422.5 | +$12.5 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 499.99 | $0.878 | $422.49 | -$16.5 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 400 | $0.710 | $380 | +$96 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.930 | $370 | -$2 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 499.99 | $0.680 | $349.99 | +$10 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 299.99 | $0.890 | $283.49 | +$16.5 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | No | 250 | $0.550 | $237.5 | +$100 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 222.97 | $0.983 | $220.63 | +$1.45 |
| buy |
| 248.52 |
| $0.976 |
| $242.56 |
| 11d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.640 | $96 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 300 | $0.930 | $279 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.930 | $372 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 176.16 | $0.820 | $144.45 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.690 | $207 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 105 | $0.890 | $93.45 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 449.5 | $0.995 | $447.25 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.920 | $460 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.900 | $360 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 863.33 | $0.990 | $854.7 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.860 | $172 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.850 | $255 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.630 | $315 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.900 | $900 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.942 | $282.6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.975 | $390 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1K | $0.976 | $976 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.976 | $2.44K | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.640 | $128 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No | buy | 263.57 | $0.850 | $224.03 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.550 | $110 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.850 | $425 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.988 | $494 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.004 | $1.2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | buy | 17.38 | $0.840 | $14.6 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 400 | $0.890 | $356 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.969 | $96.9 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.969 | $96.9 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.989 | $989 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.976 | $2.44K | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3K | $0.984 | $2.95K | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.570 | $57 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | sell | 75 | $0.430 | $32.25 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | buy | 600 | $0.910 | $546 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 700 | $0.870 | $609 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.610 | $122 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 450 | $0.980 | $441 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 250 | $0.890 | $222.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.998 | $399.2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.998 | $1.5K | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 225.48 | $0.940 | $211.95 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.969 | $484.5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.670 | $268 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.610 | $183 | Jun 13, 2026 |