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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 231.98 | $0.431 | $73.07 | -$26.93 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 231.98 | $0.431 | $100 | 12d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 125 |
| $0.400 |
| $50 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 275 | $0.800 | $220 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 80 | $0.950 | $76 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.060 | $48 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 130 | $0.820 | $106.6 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 60 | $0.970 | $58.2 | Sep 6, 2025 |
 Trump restores local control of DC Police by August 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.890 | $53.4 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.800 | $48 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.286 | $51.56 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in August?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.115 | $45.97 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.650 | $48.75 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.330 | $49.5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will LSU win the 2026 College Football National Championship?Yes | buy | 87.05 | $0.050 | $4.35 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.080 | $48 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 2.34K | $0.019 | $43.38 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 94.33 | $0.015 | $1.41 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.210 | $52.5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?No | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 850 | $0.060 | $50.72 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 275 | $0.180 | $49.5 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.085 | $55.25 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.112 | $24.96 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.140 | $21 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.290 | $49.3 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "President Xi" during his AI speech on July 23?No | buy | 63.99 | $0.320 | $20.48 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Nvidia" during his AI speech on July 23?No | buy | 22.56 | $0.500 | $11.28 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during his AI speech on July 23?No | buy | 99.47 | $0.230 | $22.88 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 "Nobody 2" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80–89%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?Yes | buy | 56 | $0.210 | $11.76 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.256 | $115.25 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 454 | $0.055 | $24.97 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 350 | $0.150 | $52.5 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?No | buy | 46 | $0.260 | $11.96 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 800 | $0.060 | $48 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.257 | $51.4 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 180 | $0.580 | $104.4 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.051 | $51.97 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.075 | $48.66 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.202 | $44.91 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.320 | $48 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.387 | $50.27 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 200 | $0.253 | $50.66 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.018 | $46.8 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.240 | $18 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 317.72 | $0.017 | $5.4 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.240 | $192 | Jun 25, 2025 |