Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.330 | $1.8 | Mar 13, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 3.44 |
| $0.340 |
| $1.17 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 347.06 | $0.017 | $5.9 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 32.97 | $0.095 | $3.13 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.093 | $10.11 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 46.96 | $0.088 | $4.13 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.098 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 80.67 | $0.096 | $7.74 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.092 | $159.51 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 33.48 | $0.086 | $2.88 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 17.98 | $0.083 | $1.49 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 264.98 | $0.098 | $25.97 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.093 | $7.47 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 128.59 | $0.200 | $25.72 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 129.2 | $0.200 | $25.84 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.200 | $2.82 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.275 | $3.85 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 291.74 | $0.300 | $87.52 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.406 | $3.25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.279 | $8.93 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.67K | $0.084 | $308.19 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.67 | $0.079 | $2.19 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 13.25 | $0.062 | $0.82 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 247.68 | $0.075 | $18.58 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | sell | 430.32 | $0.800 | $344.26 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 430.32 | $0.653 | $281 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.5K | $0.053 | $183.85 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 904.46 | $0.078 | $70.55 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.47K | $0.040 | $58.93 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.81K | $0.074 | $800 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.57K | $0.028 | $212 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.28K | $0.080 | $182.7 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 777.78 | $0.009 | $7 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.041 | $0.74 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 463.35 | $0.010 | $4.63 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?Yes | sell | 28.94 | $0.140 | $4.05 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.94 | $0.140 | $4.05 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 285.21 | $0.014 | $4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.015 | $16 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Machado handshake last less than 2 seconds?Yes | sell | 707.95 | $0.006 | $3.9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.13K | $0.020 | $23 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.051 | $60 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 1.42K | $0.029 | $41.83 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 3.06K | $0.013 | $41.22 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.019 | $32 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.024 | $48 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 1.07K | $0.042 | $45 | Jan 16, 2026 |