Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 14.31K | $0.831 | $12.52K | +$631.88 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 839.79 | $0.470 | $394.7 | 1h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 1.74K |
| $0.800 |
| $1.37K |
| -$26.12 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1.23K | $0.788 | $1.02K | +$57.89 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 723.26 | $0.701 | $685.29 | +$178.59 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 487.51 | $0.737 | $438.76 | +$79.45 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 871.52 | $0.470 | $405.26 | -$4.67 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 476.33 | $0.911 | $382.5 | -$51.47 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 1.91K | $0.300 | $276.36 | -$295.42 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.96K | $0.190 | $217.85 | -$345.2 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 589.64 | $0.793 | $138.57 | -$329.15 |
 Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 102.76 | $0.689 | $87.86 | +$17.05 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2.25K | $0.042 | $64.15 | -$30.79 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 48.25 | $0.730 | $46.03 | +$10.81 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 230.61 | $0.410 | $20.75 | -$73.79 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 550.56 | $0.027 | $14.59 | -$0.26 |
 Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.84K | $0.020 | $5.76 | -$69.86 |
 Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 291.55 | $0.042 | $5.54 | -$6.71 |
 Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5.18 | $0.955 | $5.15 | +$0.2 |
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.6 | $0.860 | $5.13 | +$0.31 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 764.58 | $0.375 | $0.38 | -$286.59 |
| buy |
| 11.73 |
| $0.480 |
| $5.63 |
| 1h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 1h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.480 | $4.8 | 1h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 40.58 | $0.904 | $36.67 | 22h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 379.71 | $0.912 | $346.3 | 1d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 56.04 | $0.910 | $51 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 289.5 | $0.800 | $231.6 | 1d ago |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.800 | $1.16K | 1d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.980 | $4.95 | 7d ago |
| Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.955 | $4.95 | 12d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.19 | $0.915 | $18.47 | 14d ago |
 Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?Yes | sell | 16.21 | $0.999 | $16.19 | 15d ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?No | buy | 20.59 | $0.980 | $20.18 | 19d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.980 | $7.98 | 19d ago |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?No | buy | 9.02 | $0.980 | $8.84 | 19d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 244.6 | $0.800 | $195.68 | 19d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 224.23 | $0.790 | $177.14 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 422.27 | $0.900 | $380.06 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 63.98 | $0.640 | $40.95 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.53 | $0.640 | $4.82 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.94 | $0.639 | $14.66 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 21.14 | $0.640 | $13.53 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 78.45 | $0.640 | $50.21 | 19d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 25.52 | $0.671 | $17.13 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.669 | $4.82 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.91 | $0.697 | $4.82 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.707 | $4.82 | 20d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 181.77 | $0.730 | $132.68 | 20d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 82.46 | $0.815 | $67.2 | 21d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 78.29 | $0.835 | $65.37 | 21d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 749.95 | $0.784 | $588.25 | 22d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 349.55 | $0.875 | $305.95 | 23d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | sell | 99.49 | $0.997 | $99.19 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 88.77 | $0.920 | $81.67 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 193 | $0.920 | $177.56 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.930 | $4.82 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.960 | $4.82 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.950 | $1.02K | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 934.39 | $0.999 | $933.46 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 99.5 | $0.975 | $97.01 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 183.34 | $0.910 | $166.84 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 767.2 | $0.920 | $705.82 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 168.26 | $0.910 | $153.12 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 443.54 | $0.960 | $425.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.48K | $0.970 | $3.38K | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 751.04 | $0.900 | $675.94 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.960 | $962.58 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 13.48 | $0.950 | $12.81 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.940 | $4.82 | Jul 29, 2026 |