Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.033 | $0.86 | -$2.14 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulySomething | sell | 11.23 | $0.196 | $2.2 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10 |
| $0.230 |
| $0.65 |
| -$1.65 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5.94 | $0.170 | $0.22 | -$0.79 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 11.87 | $0.070 | $0.09 | -$0.74 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.18 | $0.110 | $0.04 | -$0.97 |
| buy |
| 21.28 |
| $0.047 |
| $1 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?Yes | buy | 64.37 | $0.016 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.815 | $4.07 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JulySomething | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 11.26 | $0.196 | $2.21 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 32.65 | $0.031 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.31 | $0.160 | $1.01 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.31 | $0.159 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.188 | $1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.189 | $1.01 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.033 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.186 | $0.99 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 5.41 | $0.933 | $5.05 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes | sell | 5.61 | $0.854 | $4.79 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.843 | $8.43 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 151.5 | $0.013 | $1.96 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 9 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 16.83 | $0.056 | $0.94 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 11.87 | $0.070 | $0.83 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 5.28 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.669 | $3.35 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 6.73 | $0.148 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 16.82 | $0.820 | $13.79 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.740 | $3.7 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 12.61 | $0.082 | $1.03 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.21 | $0.140 | $1.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 6.73 | $0.150 | $1.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.140 | $1.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.140 | $1.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.180 | $1.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 6.73 | $0.150 | $1.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.21 | $0.140 | $1.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yes | buy | 120.75 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 12.62 | $0.075 | $0.95 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.21 | $0.140 | $1.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.73 | $0.150 | $1.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.140 | $1.01 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes | sell | 16.67 | $0.999 | $16.65 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.941 | $4.71 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 61.18 | $0.016 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Jun 15, 2026 |