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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.09K | $0.930 | $1.07K | +$58.46 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 21.25 | $0.955 | $20.29 | 26d ago |
|
| No |
| 707.52 |
| $0.987 |
| $703.63 |
| +$5.09 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 613.71 | $0.917 | $576.89 | +$13.89 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 580.97 | $0.947 | $562.96 | +$12.96 |
 Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 328 | $0.921 | $309.96 | +$7.96 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 320.07 | $0.937 | $307.42 | +$7.42 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 276.47 | $0.904 | $258.5 | +$8.49 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 233.02 | $0.858 | $199.23 | -$0.77 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 191.83 | $0.731 | $177.44 | +$37.17 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | No | 159.56 | $0.931 | $152.94 | +$4.34 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 143.88 | $0.903 | $137.4 | +$7.4 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 105.25 | $0.957 | $101.25 | +$0.57 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 69.5 | $0.878 | $64.29 | +$3.29 |
 Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? | No | 65.71 | $0.913 | $61.57 | +$1.57 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 54.35 | $0.920 | $53.99 | +$3.99 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50.8 | +$0.8 |
 Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? | No | 57.95 | $0.863 | $50.7 | +$0.7 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 55 | $0.780 | $49.78 | +$6.88 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? | No | 50 | $0.955 | $49.38 | +$1.63 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 50.8 | $0.787 | $47.5 | +$7.5 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 51.76 | $0.858 | $40.12 | -$4.28 |
 X banned in any European country by December 31? | No | 44.29 | $0.700 | $37.64 | +$6.64 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 35.63 | $0.561 | $30.82 | +$10.82 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | No | 24.39 | $0.820 | $22.44 | +$2.44 |
 Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? | No | 23.53 | $0.850 | $22.24 | +$2.24 |
| buy |
| 13.53 |
| $0.958 |
| $12.96 |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 65.21 | $0.959 | $62.54 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 28.16 | $0.185 | $5.21 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 8.82 | $0.110 | $0.97 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 66.19 | $0.770 | $50.97 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 697.22 | $0.988 | $688.54 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?No | buy | 191.63 | $0.939 | $180 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 465.59 | $0.930 | $433 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 66.19 | $0.755 | $50 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No | buy | 524.98 | $0.952 | $500 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.930 | $1K | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?No | buy | 86.36 | $0.880 | $76 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 77.7 | $0.986 | $76.61 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No | buy | 12.34 | $0.972 | $12 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.011 | $1.57 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No | buy | 106.27 | $0.990 | $105.23 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.955 | $47.75 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.860 | $34.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.988 | $19.76 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?No | buy | 23.33 | $0.857 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 6.25 | $0.550 | $3.44 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 62.51 | $0.100 | $6.25 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 106.61 | $0.938 | $100 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Megaquake by July 31?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 106.95 | $0.935 | $100 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 10.79 | $0.927 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 106.5 | $0.939 | $100 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.978 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.900 | $90 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.944 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |