Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | sell | 4.03 | $0.250 | $1.01 | Apr 7, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 4.04 |
| $0.260 |
| $1.05 |
| Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 1.9 | $0.617 | $1.17 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.620 | $1.18 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | sell | 4.02 | $0.330 | $1.33 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.350 | $1.41 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 2.46 | $0.640 | $1.57 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.650 | $1.6 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 2.66 | $0.650 | $1.73 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.660 | $1.76 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 2.55 | $0.450 | $1.15 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 2.55 | $0.470 | $1.2 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.83 | $0.540 | $1.53 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.550 | $1.56 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 2.78 | $0.680 | $1.89 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.690 | $1.92 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3PM ETDown | buy | 7.78 | $0.510 | $3.97 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.82 | $0.730 | $2.06 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.740 | $2.09 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.640 | $1.31 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.650 | $1.33 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?No | sell | 8.61 | $0.540 | $4.65 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.550 | $4.74 | Aug 24, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.320 | $1.28 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.340 | $1.36 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?No | sell | 4.65 | $0.270 | $1.26 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will The Studio win the Emmy for Outstanding Comedy Series?No | buy | 4.66 | $0.290 | $1.35 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 2.72 | $0.720 | $1.96 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 2.73 | $0.730 | $1.99 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | sell | 3.46 | $0.373 | $1.29 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 3.46 | $0.384 | $1.33 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?No | sell | 3.64 | $0.310 | $1.13 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 3.65 | $0.310 | $1.13 | May 16, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.450 | $3.17 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.460 | $3.24 | May 15, 2025 |
 Liberals win majority in Canadian election?No | sell | 3.38 | $0.420 | $1.42 | Apr 27, 2025 |
| Liberals win majority in Canadian election?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.440 | $1.49 | Apr 26, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No | sell | 3.81 | $0.430 | $1.64 | Apr 25, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.440 | $1.68 | Apr 25, 2025 |
 Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?Yes | sell | 3.08 | $0.490 | $1.51 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Manitoba in the next Canadian Election?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.500 | $1.54 | Apr 12, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?Yes | sell | 5.23 | $0.440 | $2.3 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.460 | $2.41 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Yoon reinstated as President before July?Yes | sell | 6.68 | $0.560 | $3.74 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Yoon reinstated as President before July?Yes | buy | 6.69 | $0.580 | $3.88 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?No | sell | 1.93 | $0.616 | $1.19 | Mar 31, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.641 | $1.24 | Mar 31, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.58 | $0.420 | $1.08 | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.58 | $0.430 | $1.11 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 President’s Trophy?No | sell | 7.71 | $0.470 | $3.62 | Mar 11, 2025 |