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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 226.95 | $0.206 | $46.86 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 145.49 |
| $0.090 |
| $13.09 |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 145.49 | $0.232 | $33.76 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 161.13 | $0.150 | $24.17 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | sell | 6.28 | $0.740 | $4.65 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.140 | $15 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.480 | $3.01 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 416.54 | $0.005 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?Yes | sell | 32.6 | $0.750 | $24.45 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?Yes | buy | 32.61 | $0.460 | $15 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 2 ET?Yes | buy | 72.35 | $0.138 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Military EditionNo | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 44.3 | $0.451 | $20 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iraq before November?No | buy | 700 | $0.010 | $7 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.587 | $11.74 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "skibidi" before the election?Yes | buy | 49.18 | $0.061 | $3 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Israel military action against Iraq before November?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 35.29 | $0.850 | $30 | Oct 26, 2024 |