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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 0.39 | $0.751 | $0.33 | +$0.04 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No | sell | 158.68 | $0.977 | $155.07 | May 22, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 0.32 |
| $0.940 |
| $0.31 |
| +$0.01 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.21 | $0.940 | $0.21 | +$0.01 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $0.455 | $0.02 | -$0.1 |
| buy |
| 158.68 |
| $0.630 |
| $100 |
| May 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.330 | $100 | May 18, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.971 | $0.44 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | sell | 0.61 | $0.770 | $0.47 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.930 | $0.82 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 0.98 | $0.950 | $0.93 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.400 | $0.8 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.930 | $1.86 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.920 | $3.68 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.400 | $1.6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 6 | $0.910 | $5.46 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.999 | $5.99 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.710 | $4.26 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.971 | $5.83 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 12 | $0.948 | $11.38 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.118 | $2.12 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.440 | $19.8 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 58 | $0.140 | $8.12 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.200 | $12 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | sell | 63 | $0.985 | $62.06 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.060 | $3.96 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 91 | $0.700 | $63.7 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.170 | $0.85 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.48 | $0.210 | $1.15 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.24 | $0.210 | $1.1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.200 | $1.2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.200 | $1.2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.180 | $1.26 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.180 | $1.26 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.71 | $0.017 | $1.44 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 84.71 | $0.017 | $1.44 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.53 | $0.019 | $1.34 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.270 | $1.12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.270 | $1.12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.270 | $1.12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.270 | $1.12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.270 | $1.12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.270 | $1.12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.270 | $1.12 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.520 | $1.56 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.520 | $1.56 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.520 | $1.56 | Apr 21, 2026 |