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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.76 | $0.420 | $3.74 | +$1.74 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 1d ago |
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| Yes |
| 3.85 |
| $0.520 |
| $2.98 |
| +$0.98 |
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2.14 | +$0.14 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.340 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 4 | $0.500 | $0.54 | -$1.46 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.220 | $0.19 | -$1.81 |
| buy |
| 9.52 |
| $0.210 |
| $2 |
| 1d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 2d ago |
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 5d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 5d ago |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 5d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 6d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 9d ago |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | 10d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 14d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 14d ago |
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | 14d ago |
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.276 | $2 | 15d ago |
Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.1M in July?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 15d ago |
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 16d ago |
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | 16d ago |
Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 17d ago |
Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks at NASA?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 17d ago |
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 18d ago |
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 19d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 21d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | 21d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 22d ago |
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 22d ago |
Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | 22d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 24d ago |
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | 25d ago |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 25d ago |
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | 25d ago |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 29d ago |
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 14?Down | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.350 | $1.06 | Aug 2, 2026 |