Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 48.78 | $0.041 | $3.1 | +$1.1 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.095 | $2 | May 7, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.13 |
| $0.320 |
| $2.39 |
| +$1.39 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 47.62 | $0.021 | $1.64 | +$0.64 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 10.91 | $0.275 | $1.58 | -$1.42 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $1.52 | -$3.48 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.170 | $1.41 | -$0.59 |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 5.71 | $0.350 | $1.4 | -$0.6 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.110 | $1 | -$1 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 28.57 | $0.070 | $0.99 | -$1.01 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $0.94 | -$1.06 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 13.04 | $0.230 | $0.85 | -$2.15 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 153.85 | $0.013 | $0.85 | -$1.15 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.044 | $0.78 | -$0.22 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.66 | -$0.34 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.170 | $0.65 | -$1.35 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 21.05 | $0.095 | $0.64 | -$1.36 |
| Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Epstein storage units raided in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.48 | -$0.53 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5.81 | $0.172 | $0.42 | -$0.58 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.33 | -$0.67 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 90.91 | $0.011 | $0.32 | -$0.68 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
 Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? | Yes | 7.25 | $0.138 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
| buy |
| 64.52 |
| $0.031 |
| $2 |
| May 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | May 1, 2026 |
| US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will King Charles say "American" or "America" 15+ times during the joint meeting of Congress?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Podcast" or "TikTok" during WHCA Dinner events?Yes | buy | 8.16 | $0.230 | $1.88 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during WHCA Dinner events?Yes | buy | 15.18 | $0.248 | $3.76 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during WHCA Dinner events?Yes | buy | 10.38 | $0.180 | $1.87 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump's tie be red?Yes | buy | 16.89 | $0.110 | $1.86 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be yellow?Yes | buy | 33.61 | $0.055 | $1.85 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?Yes | buy | 34.26 | $0.054 | $1.85 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.57 | $0.097 | $3.64 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.46 | $0.218 | $1.84 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?Yes | buy | 9.48 | $0.211 | $2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.057 | $2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 192.26 | $0.015 | $2.88 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.016 | $3 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by April 30?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.122 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?Yes | buy | 8.92 | $0.210 | $1.87 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Art of the Deal" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 8.05 | $0.233 | $1.88 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.013 | $0.04 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.028 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 126.25 | $0.016 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21?Yes | buy | 21.01 | $0.090 | $1.89 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?Yes | buy | 11.87 | $0.160 | $1.9 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.035 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 11.17 | $0.179 | $2 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump post "Art of the Deal" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 6.46 | $0.292 | $1.89 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will "Invasion" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)Yes | buy | 4.68 | $0.200 | $0.94 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Boy oh boy" this week? (April 20 - 26)Yes | buy | 4.34 | $0.440 | $1.91 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump name "Bolsonaro" in April?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.071 | $1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Apr 17, 2026 |