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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 52.63 | $0.190 | $7.68 | -$2.32 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.200 |
| $6.25 |
| -$3.75 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 45.26 | $0.133 | $2.67 | -$3.33 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1.65 | +$0.65 |
| buy |
| 4.77 |
| $0.390 |
| $1.86 |
| Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.154 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 19.08 | $0.229 | $4.37 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes | buy | 12.87 | $0.310 | $3.99 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 7.37 | $0.407 | $3 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 73.13 | $0.016 | $1.17 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.120 | $6 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 17.92 | $0.279 | $5 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 11.6 | $0.530 | $6.15 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 41.18 | $0.170 | $7 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 380.95 | $0.021 | $8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.180 | $4 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 48.98 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?Yes | buy | 14.73 | $0.068 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target Tehran?Yes | buy | 13.73 | $0.146 | $2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?Yes | buy | 30.35 | $0.033 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 52.16 | $0.019 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?Yes | buy | 47.89 | $0.021 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 38.12 | $0.131 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes | buy | 108.9 | $0.046 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 162.77 | $0.112 | $18.23 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.060 | $6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 89.28 | $0.010 | $0.89 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 34.4 | $0.200 | $6.88 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryNo | sell | 11.77 | $0.840 | $9.89 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 US civil war before 2027?Yes | buy | 152.08 | $0.100 | $15.16 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2025 be less than 0.5%?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?Yes | sell | 101.37 | $0.008 | $0.81 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 67.23 | $0.029 | $1.98 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 116.52 | $0.021 | $2.45 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 84.59 | $0.076 | $6.43 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 22.63 | $0.160 | $3.62 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.021 | $2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 116.52 | $0.043 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.200 | $27 | Jan 19, 2026 |