Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10.11 | +$0.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 15.63 |
| $0.640 |
| $7.27 |
| -$2.73 |
 Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | 5.3 | $0.943 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026? | No | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | No | 5.14 | $0.972 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
| Will Iran target Qatar by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 15.63 | $0.320 | $1.48 | -$3.52 |
 Next Kimi K model released by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 5.43 | $0.920 | $0.26 | -$4.74 |
| buy |
| 15.63 |
| $0.320 |
| $5 |
| 4d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | 4d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 5d ago |
 Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Next Kimi K model released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | 6d ago |
 Next Meta Muse Spark (1.3+) released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 9d ago |
 SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | 17d ago |
 Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSpirit | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | 17d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | 19d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | 19d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | 24d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | 24d ago |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | 24d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | 28d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence PlayoffsTeam Falcons | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 9.45 | $0.529 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 10.68 | $0.468 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.908 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?No | buy | 7.26 | $0.689 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.24 | $0.328 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 17.92 | $0.279 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 6.12 | $0.817 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Games Total: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.93 | $0.179 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Rodrigo PachecoFelipe Meligeni Alves | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?No | buy | 43.28 | $0.116 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Over $45M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes | buy | 9.49 | $0.527 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 30?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.988 | $5 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 29?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 |