Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 3.72K | $0.816 | $3.18K | +$143.4 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | sell | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 6d ago |
|
| No |
| 973.34 |
| $0.881 |
| $910.08 |
| +$52.04 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | No | 890.67 | $0.804 | $765.98 | +$50.05 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 567.56 | $0.833 | $533.51 | +$60.7 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 255 | $0.808 | $218.02 | +$12.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 232 | $0.800 | $216.92 | +$31.32 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 220.74 | $0.870 | $208.6 | +$16.65 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 140 | $0.880 | $125.3 | +$2.1 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 140.84 | $0.784 | $108.44 | -$1.95 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 92.54 | $0.923 | $90.92 | +$5.47 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 155.26 | $0.161 | $16.3 | -$8.7 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.090 | $3.75 | -$0.75 |
 Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 59.99 | $0.030 | $3.42 | +$1.62 |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.044 | $2.63 | +$0.43 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 3.26 | $0.613 | $2.56 | +$0.56 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.061 | $2.28 | -$2.6 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.880 |
| $88 |
| 6d ago |
 Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 69.38 | $0.001 | $0.07 | 7d ago |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.030 | $1.8 | 16d ago |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.044 | $2.2 | 16d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 140 | $0.880 | $123.2 | 27d ago |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.061 | $4.88 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 42.29 | $0.670 | $28.33 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 189.18 | $0.950 | $179.72 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 80 | $0.840 | $67.2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 95.18 | $0.938 | $89.3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 240 | $0.840 | $201.6 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 214 | $0.954 | $204.26 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.840 | $126 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | sell | 112.18 | $0.861 | $96.57 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.863 | $172.54 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No | buy | 70 | $0.850 | $59.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 68 | $0.956 | $65.01 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No | sell | 65.55 | $0.945 | $61.97 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 51.37 | $0.820 | $42.12 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?Yes | sell | 197.59 | $0.051 | $10.08 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 95.06 | $0.150 | $14.26 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 117.5 | $0.180 | $21.15 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | sell | 52.1 | $0.282 | $14.72 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | buy | 80 | $0.880 | $70.4 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.976 | $48.8 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 17.62 | $0.567 | $10 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 13.45 | $0.595 | $8 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 235 | $0.294 | $69.07 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.240 | $9.6 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 15.07 | $0.230 | $3.47 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 100 | $0.943 | $94.3 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No | buy | 136 | $0.860 | $116.96 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Egypt reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.036 | $1.01 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.790 | $71.1 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 32.35 | $0.880 | $28.47 | Jul 3, 2026 |