Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | No | 13.64 | $0.880 | $13.49 | +$1.49 |
 Glean IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.23 | $0.981 | $12 | Mar 4, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 14.12 |
| $0.850 |
| $13.34 |
| +$1.34 |
 Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | No | 13.95 | $0.860 | $13.33 | +$1.33 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 13.64 | $0.880 | $13.3 | +$1.3 |
 Rippling IPO before 2027? | No | 14.12 | $0.850 | $13.27 | +$1.27 |
 Remote IPO before 2027? | No | 14.12 | $0.850 | $13.27 | +$1.27 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.12 | $0.850 | $13.2 | +$1.2 |
 Vanta IPO before 2027? | No | 13.79 | $0.870 | $13.17 | +$1.17 |
 Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | No | 13.19 | $0.910 | $13.07 | +$1.07 |
 Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | No | 13.19 | $0.910 | $12.92 | +$0.92 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | No | 13.09 | $0.917 | $12.86 | +$0.86 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 12.97 | $0.925 | $12.73 | +$0.73 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 12.85 | $0.942 | $12.57 | +$0.47 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12.55 | +$0.55 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 12.9 | $0.930 | $12.51 | +$0.51 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 12.61 | $0.952 | $12.39 | +$0.39 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | No | 12.85 | $0.934 | $12.36 | +$0.36 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | No | 13.33 | $0.900 | $12.33 | +$0.33 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.77 | $0.940 | $12.33 | +$0.33 |
 Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 12.33 | $0.973 | $12.31 | +$0.31 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 12.31 | $0.975 | $12.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | No | 13.64 | $0.880 | $3.48 | -$8.52 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 13.5 | $0.889 | $2.19 | -$9.81 |
| buy |
| 12.07 |
| $0.994 |
| $12 |
| Mar 4, 2026 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | sell | 15.18 | $0.810 | $12.3 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?Yes | buy | 38.23 | $0.994 | $38 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.960 | $12 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?No | buy | 12.67 | $0.947 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.880 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Israel in March?Yes | buy | 12.07 | $0.994 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.920 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.77 | $0.940 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Remote IPO before 2027?No | buy | 14.12 | $0.850 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Rippling IPO before 2027?No | buy | 14.12 | $0.850 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Glean IPO before 2027?No | buy | 14.12 | $0.850 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Vanta IPO before 2027?No | buy | 13.79 | $0.870 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.880 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.900 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 13.95 | $0.860 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.45 | $0.964 | $12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.7 | $0.945 | $12 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?No | sell | 13.63 | $0.969 | $13.2 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will "Overboard" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 12.84 | $0.974 | $12.5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 12.85 | $0.942 | $12.1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 12.33 | $0.973 | $12 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 12.68 | $0.946 | $12 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 16.9 | $0.706 | $11.93 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 X banned in U.K. by March 31?No | buy | 7.33 | $0.955 | $7 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will "Overboard" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10)No | buy | 12.13 | $0.989 | $12 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No | buy | 13.09 | $0.917 | $12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Walmart acquire TikTok?No | buy | 12.54 | $0.957 | $12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?No | buy | 12.77 | $0.940 | $12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Another US bank failure by February 28?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.900 | $12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.54 | $0.957 | $12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.59 | $0.953 | $12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.58 | $0.954 | $12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?No | buy | 13.95 | $0.860 | $12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Macron out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.67 | $0.947 | $12 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?No | buy | 18.24 | $0.987 | $18 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?No | buy | 13.64 | $0.880 | $12 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?No | buy | 12.59 | $0.953 | $12 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?No | buy | 12.77 | $0.940 | $12 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 12.9 | $0.930 | $12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No | sell | 12.9 | $0.967 | $12.47 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.960 | $12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 12.36 | $0.971 | $12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 12.12 | $0.990 | $12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 12.41 | $0.967 | $12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be between 40 and 50?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.989 | $12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No | buy | 13.19 | $0.910 | $12 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?No | sell | 12.63 | $0.978 | $12.35 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?No | sell | 13.63 | $0.930 | $12.68 | Feb 1, 2026 |