Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 307.69 |
| $0.013 |
| $4 |
| May 16, 2026 |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 24.84 | $0.161 | $4 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.002 | $0.29 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.003 | $0.33 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 170.35 | $0.003 | $0.51 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.039 | $1.26 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 67.74 | $0.015 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | buy | 19.83 | $0.101 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 9.01 | $0.222 | $2 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 170.36 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.018 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.070 | $1.25 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.35 | $0.040 | $0.29 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 7.85 | $0.060 | $0.47 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.057 | $3 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for 10 seconds or more?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 6 and 8 seconds?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for between 8 and 10 seconds?Yes | buy | 17.72 | $0.113 | $2 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned in 2025?No | sell | 6.75 | $0.968 | $6.53 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 X relaunches Vine in 2025?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.880 | $3.66 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.910 | $2.84 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.090 | $4 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 60.61 | $0.033 | $2 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will TikTok be banned in 2025?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| X relaunches Vine in 2025?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Wimbledon: Sinner vs. DimitrovDimitrov | buy | 18.35 | $0.109 | $2 | Jul 7, 2025 |
 Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 15.75 | $0.127 | $2 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?Yes | sell | 21.42 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 12.19 | $0.570 | $6.95 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 30?No | sell | 9.04 | $0.963 | $8.71 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 7.86 | $0.280 | $2.2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 30?No | buy | 9.05 | $0.210 | $1.9 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?No | buy | 12 | $0.100 | $1.2 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 21?No | buy | 80.68 | $0.019 | $1.5 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Predoiu?Yes | sell | 182.08 | $0.002 | $0.36 | Jun 21, 2025 |