Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 71.52 | $0.280 | $10.37 | -$9.63 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | 5d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 86.96 |
| $0.230 |
| $5.65 |
| -$14.35 |
 Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? | Yes | 23.51 | $0.043 | $5.08 | +$4.08 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 65.22 | $0.230 | $4.89 | -$10.11 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 150 | $0.100 | $4.73 | -$10.28 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 3.46 | $0.578 | $3.21 | +$1.21 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 19.61 | $0.051 | $3.14 | +$2.14 |
 Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 17.48 | $0.286 | $1.57 | -$3.43 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
 Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 3.13 | $0.640 | $0.75 | -$1.25 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 6.78 | $0.295 | $0.69 | -$1.31 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.69 | -$0.31 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
 Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 8.97 | $0.223 | $0.63 | -$1.37 |
 Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.62 | -$0.38 |
 Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.039 | $0.6 | -$0.4 |
 Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 7.3 | $0.137 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.57 | -$0.43 |
 Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Yes | 1.95 | $0.513 | $0.44 | -$0.56 |
 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | Yes | 2.38 | $0.420 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
| buy |
| 2.38 |
| $0.420 |
| $1 |
| 5d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | 5d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.448 | $2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes | buy | 1.95 | $0.513 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | buy | 3.32 | $0.301 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | sell | 611.11 | $0.039 | $23.94 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.041 | $0.91 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026?Yes | buy | 23.51 | $0.043 | $1 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Japan recession in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | sell | 18.51 | $0.026 | $0.48 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.180 | $0.9 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.280 | $0.82 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.161 | $0.89 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.053 | $1.02 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.659 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.049 | $0.27 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.380 | $0.95 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.420 | $0.93 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.090 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
 Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the White House Press Secretary say "Administration" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the White House Press Secretary say "President" 30+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?No | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |