Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 879.99 | $0.763 | $780.99 | +$109.42 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | sell | 131.9 | $0.958 | $126.36 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 970.04 |
| $0.727 |
| $712.98 |
| +$7.59 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.86K | $0.354 | $269.05 | -$390.95 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 271.73 | $0.801 | $256.78 | +$39.23 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.41K | $0.173 | $176.91 | -$240.42 |
 Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 168.9 | $0.836 | $154.54 | +$13.35 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 130.34 | $0.688 | $115.35 | +$25.71 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 939.98 | $0.043 | $111.39 | +$71.26 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | Yes | 116.91 | $0.531 | $105.8 | +$43.69 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 636.36 | $0.707 | $60.45 | -$389.36 |
 Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | Yes | 809.56 | $0.100 | $44.53 | -$36.26 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 40 | $0.450 | $34.4 | +$16.4 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | Yes | 34.24 | $0.580 | $32.7 | +$12.84 |
 Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 50 | $0.650 | $31.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 261.28 | $0.701 | $19.6 | -$163.46 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.390 | $17.5 | -$21.5 |
| buy |
| 391.03 |
| $0.454 |
| $177.45 |
| Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes | buy | 31.9 | $0.920 | $29.35 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | buy | 410 | $0.630 | $258.3 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.026 | $7.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 500 | $0.992 | $496 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 452.69 | $0.985 | $445.94 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 48.16 | $0.734 | $35.35 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?No | sell | 40 | $0.610 | $24.4 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.460 | $18.4 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?Yes | sell | 16.37 | $0.964 | $15.78 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 9.3 | $0.720 | $6.7 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.560 | $28 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | sell | 313.87 | $0.720 | $225.99 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes | sell | 36.6 | $0.200 | $7.32 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.044 | $1.1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?No | sell | 233.48 | $0.085 | $19.77 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?No | buy | 233.49 | $0.428 | $100 | May 30, 2026 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?No | buy | 66 | $0.800 | $52.8 | May 30, 2026 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes | sell | 13.27 | $0.210 | $2.79 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?No | sell | 105 | $0.560 | $58.8 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?No | sell | 196.23 | $0.610 | $119.7 | May 30, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 37.8 | $0.628 | $23.75 | May 28, 2026 |
| Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.890 | $35.6 | May 28, 2026 |
| Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 27.3 | $0.890 | $24.3 | May 28, 2026 |
| Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.880 | $35.2 | May 28, 2026 |
| Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45.39 | $0.881 | $40 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?No | buy | 29.37 | $0.820 | $24.08 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?No | buy | 10 | $0.820 | $8.2 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?No | buy | 203 | $0.820 | $166.46 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 24.6 | $0.750 | $18.45 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | May 25, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 436.36 | $0.710 | $309.82 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 64.98 | $0.710 | $46.14 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?Yes | sell | 48.83 | $0.986 | $48.15 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes | buy | 34.24 | $0.580 | $19.86 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by June 30?Yes | buy | 48.83 | $0.860 | $41.99 | May 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.700 | $19.6 | May 16, 2026 |
 Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?Yes | sell | 11.97 | $0.999 | $11.96 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 5.67 | $0.560 | $3.18 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 78.9 | $0.820 | $64.7 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | May 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 408 | $0.290 | $118.32 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 372.77 | $0.072 | $26.84 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.008 | $24 | May 3, 2026 |